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Superligaen
Referee: M Kristoffersen
Midtjylland
S U S S S
4–2
Full-time
Silkeborg
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Silkeborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
4,4
3,4
Scored
2,8
1,4
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,66 xG 0,56
43% Possession 57%
21 Shots 11
12 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Midtjylland 3. · Silkeborg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 6 4 1 1 +6 +4.4 13
2 Brondby 5 4 0 1 +5 +3.1 12
3 Midtjylland 5 2 3 0 +6 -0.1 9
4 Aarhus 5 2 2 1 +4 +0.4 8
5 Odense 6 2 2 2 -5 +2.4 8
6 Fredericia 5 2 1 2 +0 -1.4 7
7 Randers FC 5 2 1 2 -1 -2.6 7
8 Viborg 5 2 0 3 -1 -3.3 6
9 Silkeborg 5 2 0 3 -3 +3.4 6
10 Vejle 5 1 1 3 -1 -2.2 4
11 Sonderjyske 5 1 1 3 -5 -2.9 4
12 Nordsjaelland 5 1 0 4 -5 -1.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Midtjylland Silkeborg
32′
E. Olafsson 1–0
own goal
2–0 Franculino
A. Simsir
35′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 A. Simsir
D. Osorio
51′
62′
🔁 R. Al Hajj
↦ Y. Bakiz
M. Gogorza 🔁
↦ A. Simsir
63′
Junior Brumado 🔁
↦ Dani Silva
63′
4–0 D. Osorio
Junior Brumado
64′
65′
🟨 Mads Freundlich
Mikel Gogorza 🟨
69′
70′
C. McCowatt 4–1
71′
🔁 L. Montano
↦ A. Poulsen
71′
🔁 O. Boesen
↦ M. Freundlich
Júnior Brumado 🟨
72′
5–1 M. Gogorza
D. Castillo
81′
V. Byskov 🔁
↦ D. Castillo
82′
Cho Gue-Sung 🔁
↦ Franculino
82′
A. Gabriel 🔁
↦ K. Mbabu
86′
86′
🔁 S. Berger
↦ C. McCowatt
86′
🔁 J. Andersen
↦ M. Larsen
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-4-2
16 E. Olafsson G
43 K. Mbabu D
3 Lee Han-Beom D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
55 V. Bak D
11 D. Osorio M
80 Dani Silva M
19 P. Bravo M
58 A. Simsir M
7 Franculino F
21 D. Castillo F
Bench (9)
1 J. Lossl
6 M. Erlic
13 A. Gabriel
29 Paulinho
20 V. Byskov
41 M. Gogorza
10 Cho Gue-Sung
14 E. Chilufya
74 Junior Brumado

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Silkeborg

4-3-2-1
1 N. Larsen G
36 J. Nielsen D
19 J. Gammelby D
3 R. Ostrom D
2 A. Poulsen D
20 M. Larsen M
6 P. Mattsson M
33 M. Freundlich M
17 C. McCowatt M
10 Y. Bakiz M
23 T. Adamsen F
Bench (9)
30 A. Andresen
9 A. Simmelhack
14 S. Berger
15 A. Bondergaard
18 L. Montano
22 R. Al Hajj
8 J. Andersen
35 S. Mikkelsen
41 O. Boesen

Coach: Kent Nielsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.