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Superligaen
Referee: J Karlsen
Brondby
T S U S T
2–0
Full-time
Midtjylland
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,3
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
40%
70%
Points per game
1,5
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
70%
70%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,72 xG 1,14
52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Brondby 6. · Midtjylland 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 10 7 3 0 +11 +6.0 24
2 Aarhus 11 5 5 1 +14 +1.6 20
3 FC Copenhagen 10 6 2 2 +8 +7.7 20
4 Silkeborg 10 5 3 2 +6 +0.3 18
5 Nordsjaelland 11 5 3 3 +5 +5.2 18
6 Brondby 10 4 3 3 +3 +5.7 15
7 Randers FC 11 3 6 2 +1 +0.2 15
8 Viborg 11 3 4 4 +1 -2.4 13
9 Aalborg 11 4 1 6 -10 -8.3 13
10 Lyngby 11 1 5 5 -6 -2.7 8
11 Sonderjyske 11 2 2 7 -14 -8.5 8
12 Vejle 11 0 1 10 -19 -4.7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brondby Midtjylland
1–0 M. Rajović
C. Bischoff
9′
21′
🔁 V. Bak Jensen
↦ K. Mbabu
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Ousmane Diao
46′
🔁 J. Kuchta
↦ D. Castillo
2–0 M. Rajović
C. Bischoff
68′
72′
🔁 P. Bravo
↦ V. Byskov
72′
🔁 C. Sørensen
↦ K. Askildsen
M. Kvistgaarden 🔁
↦ Y. Suzuki
73′
M. Divković 🔁
↦ C. Bischoff
73′
D. Wass 🔁
↦ S. Spierings
78′
81′
🔁 Juninho
↦ E. Martínez
Nicolai Vallys 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Ousmane Diao
93′
🟥 Ousmane Diao
94′
🟨 Franculino Djú
N. Nartey 🔁
↦ N. Vallys
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Brondby

3-4-2-1
1 P. Pentz G
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
32 F. Alves D
4 J. Rasmussen D
2 S. Sebulonsen M
6 S. Spierings M
22 J. Radošević M
37 C. Bischoff M
28 Y. Suzuki F
7 N. Vallys F
17 M. Rajović F
Bench (8)
36 M. Kvistgaarden
24 M. Divković
10 D. Wass
35 N. Nartey
34 L. Vraa-Jensen
46 J. Che
16 T. Mikkelsen
11 F. Bundgaard

Coach: J. Sørensen

Midtjylland

4-4-2
16 E. Ólafsson G
43 K. Mbabu D
4 O. Diao D
22 M. Bech D
6 J. Andersson D
21 D. Castillo M
5 E. Martínez M
17 K. Askildsen M
20 V. Byskov M
7 Franculino Djú F
58 A. Şimşir F
Bench (9)
55 V. Bak Jensen
25 J. Kuchta
19 P. Bravo
15 C. Sørensen
73 Juninho
3 Lee Han-Beom
1 J. Lössl
30 O. Ejeheri
13 A. Gabriel

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Karlsen · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.