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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax
Valladolid
U S T S T
3–1
Full-time
Eibar
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 47%
45%
48%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
29%
48%
Both score Ø 44%
32%
55%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
19 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Valladolid 8. · Eibar 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 32 17 8 7 +26 59
2 Espanol 32 14 11 7 +14 53
3 Elche 31 15 8 8 +8 53
4 Eibar 31 15 7 9 +14 52
5 Sp Gijon 32 13 10 9 +7 49
6 Burgos 31 14 7 10 +2 49
7 Oviedo 32 12 12 8 +12 48
8 Valladolid 31 14 6 11 +5 48
9 Santander 31 13 8 10 +5 47
10 Ferrol 31 12 11 8 +2 47
11 Levante 31 10 14 7 +1 44
12 Eldense 31 10 12 9 -1 42
13 Tenerife 32 11 9 12 -2 42
14 Cartagena 32 10 8 14 -11 38
15 Huesca 31 8 13 10 +3 37
16 Zaragoza 31 9 10 12 -1 37
17 Mirandes 31 9 9 13 -7 36
18 Alcorcon 32 8 9 15 -19 33
19 Albacete 31 7 10 14 -10 31
20 Amorebieta 32 7 9 16 -13 30
21 Villarreal B 32 7 9 16 -19 30
22 Andorra 32 7 8 17 -16 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Eibar
Sergio Escudero 🟨
-5′
2′
Jon Bautista 0–1
Peru Nolaskoain
11′
🟥 Juan Berrocal
17′
🔁 Frederico Venâncio
↦ Ager Aketxe
Luis Pérez 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Ríos Reina
↦ Cristian Gutiérrez
50′
🔁 K. de La Fuente
↦ Stoichkov
1–1 Víctor Meseguer
Isra Sala
57′
Iván Sánchez 🔁
↦ César de la Hoz
58′
2–1 M. Sylla
Víctor Meseguer
60′
64′
🟨 Álvaro Tejero
3–1 Isra Sala
Iván Sánchez
69′
S. Jurić 🔁
↦ Álvaro Negredo
70′
75′
🔁 Sergio Álvarez
↦ Jon Bautista
75′
🔁 Unai Vencedor
↦ Mario Soriano
Raúl Moro 🔁
↦ M. Sylla
81′
Marcos André 🔁
↦ Isra Sala
81′
Lucas Oliveira 🔁
↦ David Torres
81′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-3-3
1 Jordi Masip G
2 Luis Pérez D
6 E. Boyomo D
3 David Torres D
22 Lucas Rosa D
4 Víctor Meseguer M
16 César de la Hoz M
8 Monchu M
38 Isra Sala F
21 Álvaro Negredo F
7 M. Sylla F
Bench (10)
10 Iván Sánchez
20 S. Jurić
11 Raúl Moro
9 Marcos André
12 Lucas Oliveira
24 Kenedy
5 Javi Sánchez
31 Arnau Rafús
18 Sergio Escudero
13 André Ferreira

Coach: P. Pezzolano

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 L. Zidane G
15 Álvaro Tejero D
5 Juan Berrocal D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
2 Cristian Gutiérrez D
24 Peru Nolaskoain M
8 Matheus Pereira M
10 Ager Aketxe M
30 Mario Soriano M
19 Stoichkov M
18 Jon Bautista F
Bench (12)
3 Frederico Venâncio
21 Ríos Reina
27 K. de La Fuente
6 Sergio Álvarez
14 Unai Vencedor
29 Ander Madariaga
11 Sergio León
13 Yoel Rodríguez
22 S. Simič
9 Y. Qasmi
7 Quique González
17 José Corpas

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,11
B
3,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,37
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Salvador Lax · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.