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LaLiga2
Referee: C Muniz
Santander
S S U S S
4–1
Full-time
Valladolid
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,5
1,3
Scored
2,7
0,7
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 45%
59%
31%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
72%
44%
Both score Ø 57%
72%
41%
Average goals
3,6
2,4
Scored
2,1
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Santander 1. · Valladolid 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 39 23 6 10 +23 -1.2 75
2 Almeria 39 21 8 10 +20 +2.0 71
3 La Coruna 39 20 11 8 +19 +1.2 71
4 Malaga 40 20 9 11 +21 +6.2 69
5 Castellon 40 18 12 10 +17 +6.9 66
6 Las Palmas 39 18 12 9 +15 +0.7 66
7 Eibar 40 18 10 12 +11 +7.1 64
8 Burgos 39 17 12 10 +11 +5.3 63
9 Cordoba 40 17 9 14 -2 +6.7 60
10 Andorra 39 16 10 13 +12 +3.7 58
11 Albacete 40 15 11 14 +0 +2.0 56
12 Ceuta 40 15 10 15 -15 -15.4 55
13 Sp Gijon 39 15 7 17 +1 +1.9 52
14 Granada 39 12 12 15 -2 -1.9 48
15 Sociedad B 40 12 10 18 -7 -9.0 46
16 Valladolid 39 12 10 17 -7 +2.2 46
17 Leganes 39 10 12 17 -6 +3.1 42
18 Cadiz 40 10 10 20 -20 -6.7 40
19 Mirandes 40 9 10 21 -23 -5.7 37
20 Huesca 39 9 9 21 -21 -0.2 36
21 Cultural Leonesa 40 9 9 22 -27 -12.1 36
22 Zaragoza 39 8 11 20 -20 +2.9 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Valladolid
A. Villalibre 🔁
↦ G. Guliashvili
23′
1–0 A. Villalibre
33′
42′
M. Jaouab 1–1
Half-time 1–1
59′
🟥 Carlos Clerc
2–1 A. Martin
62′
64′
🔁 V. A. Meseguer Cavas
↦ M. Maroto
64′
🔁 P. Tomeo
↦ A. Carvajal
69′
🔁 I. Alani
↦ J. Ponceau
D. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ M. Gueye
73′
3–1 A. Martin
A. Villalibre
73′
M. Sangalli 🔁
↦ G. Puerta
84′
S. Camara 🔁
↦ A. Martin
84′
84′
🔁 V. Erlien
↦ J. Latasa
84′
🔁 A. Galdeano
↦ R. Martinez
Alvaro Mantilla 🟨
86′
4–1 S. Camara
D. Rodriguez
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 S. Eriksson G
2 A. Mantilla D
4 Manu D
21 P. Ramon D
32 J. Salinas D
14 M. Gueye M
19 G. Puerta M
11 A. Martin M
18 P. Canales M
10 I. Vicente M
7 G. Guliashvili F
Bench (12)
1 J. Ezkieta
17 J. Mata
15 M. Sangalli
12 A. Villalibre
5 J. Castro
20 S. Camara
23 D. Rodriguez
3 M. Garcia
9 J. Arana
6 I. Sainz-Maza
8 A. Aldasoro
44 Chino

Coach: Jose Lopez

Valladolid

5-3-2
13 Guilherme Fernandes G
14 I. Alejo D
5 R. Martinez D
23 M. Jaouab D
18 C. Clerc D
22 Peter Federico D
6 M. Lachuer M
21 J. Ponceau M
16 M. Maroto M
38 A. Carvajal
9 J. Latasa F
Bench (12)
26 A. de Pablo
1 A. Aceves
24 S. Juric
19 L. Sanseviero
12 I. Alani
11 A. Ndiaye
25 V. Erlien
8 V. A. Meseguer Cavas
15 P. Tomeo
30 H. Modesto
40 B. Chinedu
35 A. Galdeano

Coach: Fran Escriba

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,41
U
4,55
B
6,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Muniz · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.