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LaLiga2
Referee: Carlos Muniz Munoz
Eibar
T S T U T
3–0
Full-time
Valladolid
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
50%
28%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 20. · Valladolid 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 18 11 3 4 +15 +0.2 36
2 La Coruna 18 9 5 4 +12 +2.8 32
3 Almeria 18 9 5 4 +10 +0.4 32
4 Castellon 18 9 4 5 +8 +3.2 31
5 Las Palmas 18 8 7 3 +8 +0.2 31
6 Burgos 18 8 4 6 +6 +1.5 28
7 Sp Gijon 18 8 3 7 -1 +1.0 27
8 Cadiz 18 7 6 5 -1 -0.8 27
9 Ceuta 18 7 5 6 -3 -3.2 26
10 Valladolid 18 6 6 6 +4 +3.9 24
11 Malaga 18 6 5 7 +1 -1.3 23
12 Cordoba 18 5 8 5 -1 +0.6 23
13 Cultural Leonesa 18 7 2 9 -4 -5.8 23
14 Albacete 18 6 4 8 -6 -0.7 22
15 Huesca 18 6 4 8 -6 +1.3 22
16 Sociedad B 18 6 3 9 +0 +0.7 21
17 Andorra 18 5 6 7 -6 -1.3 21
18 Leganes 18 4 8 6 -2 +1.4 20
19 Granada 18 4 8 6 -3 -0.1 20
20 Eibar 18 4 6 8 -6 +0.1 18
21 Mirandes 18 4 4 10 -11 -0.7 16
22 Zaragoza 18 4 4 10 -14 -3.5 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Valladolid
1–0 A. Madariaga
J. Guruzeta
6′
11′
🟨 Stanko Jurić
20′
🟨 Mohamed Jaouab
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Bueno
↦ D. Torres
46′
🔁 Peter Federico
↦ I. Alejo
2–0 J. Bautista
48′
Ander Madariaga ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
53′
Marco Moreno 🟨
59′
65′
🟨 Julien Ponceau
J. Magunazelaia Argoitia 🔁
↦ J. Guruzeta
66′
67′
🔁 S. Canos
↦ J. Ponceau
68′
🔁 Trilli
↦ M. Jaouab
3–0 J. Corpas
J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
70′
S. Cubero 🔁
↦ A. Rodriguez
74′
A. Arambarri 🔁
↦ M. Moreno
74′
74′
🔁 M. Dominguez
↦ S. Biuk
76′
🟨 Mario Dominguez
Ander Madariaga 🟨
82′
L. Olaetxea 🔁
↦ A. Garrido
83′
Javier Marton 🔁
↦ J. Bautista
84′
Anaitz Arbilla 🟨
86′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 J. Magunagoitia G
22 A. Rodriguez D
8 P. Nolaskoain D
21 M. Moreno D
23 A. Arbilla D
6 S. Alvarez M
30 A. Garrido M
16 A. Madariaga M
10 J. Guruzeta M
17 J. Corpas M
9 J. Bautista F
Bench (11)
1 L. Lopez
2 S. Cubero
3 H. Arrillaga
4 A. Arambarri
11 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
14 L. Olaetxea
18 A. Ares
19 T. Villa
20 Javier Marton
24 L. Buta
27 H. Garcia

Coach: Beñat San José Gil

Valladolid

3-1-4-2
13 Guilherme Fernandes G
15 P. Tomeo D
23 M. Jaouab D
4 D. Torres D
24 S. Juric M
14 I. Alejo M
21 J. Ponceau M
8 V. A. Meseguer Cavas M
17 S. Biuk M
20 Chuki F
9 J. Latasa F
Bench (12)
1 A. Aceves
2 Trilli
3 G. Bueno
5 J. Sanchez
6 M. Lachuer
7 S. Canos
12 I. Alani
16 M. Maroto
19 A. Arnuncio
22 Peter Federico
28 X. Moreno
36 M. Dominguez

Coach: Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
U
2,98
B
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,23
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Muniz Munoz · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.