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LaLiga2
Referee: A Fuentes
Valladolid
T U T S T
2–0
Full-time
Zaragoza
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
45%
34%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
6 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 18
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Valladolid 15. · Zaragoza 21.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 38 22 6 10 +22 -1.1 72
2 Almeria 39 21 8 10 +20 +2.0 71
3 La Coruna 39 20 11 8 +19 +1.2 71
4 Las Palmas 38 18 12 8 +19 +2.4 66
5 Castellon 39 18 11 10 +17 +6.9 65
6 Malaga 38 18 9 11 +17 +6.3 63
7 Burgos 39 17 12 10 +11 +5.3 63
8 Eibar 38 17 10 11 +11 +6.4 61
9 Cordoba 38 16 9 13 -2 +4.1 57
10 Andorra 38 15 10 13 +8 +2.0 55
11 Ceuta 39 15 10 14 -12 -15.4 55
12 Albacete 39 14 11 14 -1 +2.0 53
13 Sp Gijon 38 15 7 16 +2 +1.9 52
14 Granada 38 12 12 14 -1 +0.7 48
15 Valladolid 38 11 10 17 -9 +2.2 43
16 Leganes 38 10 12 16 -5 +3.1 42
17 Sociedad B 38 11 9 18 -8 -9.3 42
18 Cadiz 39 10 9 20 -20 -6.7 39
19 Huesca 38 9 9 20 -20 -0.4 36
20 Mirandes 38 9 9 20 -22 -4.9 36
21 Zaragoza 38 8 11 19 -18 +2.9 35
22 Cultural Leonesa 39 8 9 22 -28 -11.5 33

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Zaragoza
1–0 J. Latasa
M. Lachuer
4′
15′
🟨 Pablo Insua
Stipe Biuk 🟨
24′
David Torres 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Gomes
↦ J. El Yamiq
47′
🟨 Jawad El Yamiq
57′
🔁 H. Pinilla
↦ M. A. Cuenca
Julien Ponceau 🟨
58′
Mathis Lachuer 🟨
59′
L. Sanseviero 🔁
↦ Peter Federico
63′
M. Maroto 🔁
↦ M. Lachuer
63′
65′
🔁 K. Kodro
↦ Francho
Mario Maroto 🟨
67′
Marcos Andre 🔁
↦ J. Ponceau
72′
78′
🔁 M. Soberon
↦ P. Insua
80′
🟨 Carlos Pomares
80′
🔁 C. Pomares
↦ D. Gomez
82′
🟥 Mario Soberón
A. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ S. Biuk
85′
A. Carvajal 🔁
↦ J. Latasa
85′
2–0 A. Carvajal
87′
91′
🟨 Juan Larios
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-3-3
1 A. Aceves G
14 I. Alejo D
15 P. Tomeo D
4 D. Torres D
18 C. Clerc D
6 M. Lachuer M
24 S. Juric M
21 J. Ponceau M
22 Peter Federico F
9 J. Latasa F
17 S. Biuk F
Bench (12)
13 Guilherme Fernandes
19 L. Sanseviero
5 R. Martinez
23 M. Jaouab
2 C. Michelin
11 A. Ndiaye
25 V. Erlien
10 Marcos Andre
8 V. A. Meseguer Cavas
16 M. Maroto
38 A. Carvajal
30 H. Modesto

Coach: Fran Escriba

Zaragoza

4-2-3-1
13 A. Rodriguez G
2 J. Sebastian D
4 P. Insua D
18 J. El Yamiq D
27 J. Larios D
6 K. Bare M
8 T. Moya M
14 Francho M
11 R. Gonzalez M
23 M. A. Cuenca M
9 D. Gomez F
Bench (12)
35 Obon
17 F. Moyano
19 K. Kodro
32 H. Barrachina
31 H. Pinilla
15 C. Pomares
16 A. Radovanovic
7 M. Soberon
26 M. Mensah
34 L. Terrer
29 J. Tobajas
36 A. Gomes

Coach: David Navarro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,21
B
3,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Fuentes · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.