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LaLiga2
Referee: C Muniz
Castellon
S T U U S
2–1
Full-time
Eibar
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 46%
46%
46%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
49%
46%
Both score Ø 53%
61%
44%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,94 xG 0,85
53% Possession 47%
21 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 6. · Eibar 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 41 24 7 10 +26 -1.2 79
2 La Coruna 41 22 11 8 +22 +2.1 77
3 Almeria 41 21 8 12 +17 +2.0 71
4 Malaga 41 20 10 11 +21 +6.2 70
5 Las Palmas 41 19 13 9 +16 +0.7 70
6 Castellon 41 19 12 10 +18 +6.9 69
7 Burgos 41 19 12 10 +14 +5.3 69
8 Eibar 41 19 10 12 +13 +7.1 67
9 Sp Gijon 42 18 7 17 +6 +1.2 61
10 Ceuta 42 17 10 15 -12 -15.2 61
11 Cordoba 41 17 9 15 -4 +6.7 60
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 +1 +1.9 59
13 Andorra 41 16 10 15 +9 +2.9 58
14 Granada 42 12 12 18 -6 -1.2 48
15 Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 -9 -8.3 47
16 Valladolid 41 12 10 19 -12 +2.2 46
17 Leganes 41 10 13 18 -9 +3.1 43
18 Cadiz 41 11 10 20 -17 -6.7 43
19 Mirandes 41 10 10 21 -21 -5.7 40
20 Huesca 41 9 10 22 -22 -0.2 37
21 Cultural Leonesa 42 9 10 23 -29 -12.7 37
22 Zaragoza 41 8 12 21 -22 +2.9 36

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Castellon Eibar
1–0 A. Calatrava
43′
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Juan Bernat
57′
J. Corpas 1–1
I. Suero 🔁
↦ A. Jakobsen
65′
L. Alcazar 🔁
↦ A. Sienra
65′
66′
🔁 A. Garrido
↦ M. Moreno
66′
🔁 J. Bautista
↦ Javier Marton
2–1 I. Suero
A. Calatrava
71′
M. Doue 🔁
↦ P. Santiago
81′
R. Sanchez 🔁
↦ B. Cipenga
81′
82′
🔁 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
↦ A. Madariaga
82′
🔁 J. Martinez
↦ S. Alvarez
82′
🔁 H. Garcia
↦ S. Cubero
A. Garcia 🔁
↦ A. Calatrava
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Castellon

4-4-2
13 R. Matthys G
18 P. Santiago D
5 A. Jimenez D
3 F. Brignani D
4 A. Sienra D
21 A. Calatrava M
15 B. Gerenabarrena M
8 Barri M
16 B. Cipenga M
9 O. Camara F
19 A. Jakobsen F
Bench (12)
1 A. Abedzadeh
10 I. Suero
29 T. De Nipoti
23 A. Garcia
2 Tincho
55 M. Willman
25 Ronaldo
17 S. Ruiz
11 D. Aurelio
6 M. Doue
12 L. Alcazar
14 R. Sanchez

Coach: Pablo Hernandez

Eibar

5-4-1
13 J. Magunagoitia G
2 S. Cubero D
21 M. Moreno D
15 Jair D
23 A. Arbilla D
24 J. Bernat D
18 A. Ares M
6 S. Alvarez M
16 A. Madariaga M
17 J. Corpas M
20 Javier Marton F
Bench (11)
1 L. Lopez
4 A. Arambarri
11 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
30 A. Garrido
37 I. Asenjo
14 L. Olaetxea
9 J. Bautista
5 J. Martinez
3 H. Arrillaga
33 M. Delgado
27 H. Garcia

Coach: Benat San Jose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
4,17
B
5,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Muniz · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.