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LaLiga2

Referee: M Perez

Almeria

S S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Valladolid

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches

Win Ø 40%

51%

29%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

73%

44%

Both score Ø 57%

73%

41%

Average goals

3,5

2,4

Scored

2,0

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,29 xG 1,18

46% Possession 54%

25 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

2 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 3. · Valladolid 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	41	24	7	10	+26	-1.2	79
2	La Coruna	41	22	11	8	+22	+2.1	77
3	Almeria	41	21	8	12	+17	+2.0	71
4	Malaga	41	20	10	11	+21	+6.2	70
5	Las Palmas	41	19	13	9	+16	+0.7	70
6	Castellon	41	19	12	10	+18	+6.9	69
7	Burgos	41	19	12	10	+14	+5.3	69
8	Eibar	41	19	10	12	+13	+7.1	67
9	Sp Gijon	42	18	7	17	+6	+1.2	61
10	Ceuta	42	17	10	15	-12	-15.2	61
11	Cordoba	41	17	9	15	-4	+6.7	60
12	Albacete	42	16	11	15	+1	+1.9	59
13	Andorra	41	16	10	15	+9	+2.9	58
14	Granada	42	12	12	18	-6	-1.2	48
15	Sociedad B	42	12	11	19	-9	-8.3	47
16	Valladolid	41	12	10	19	-12	+2.2	46
17	Leganes	41	10	13	18	-9	+3.1	43
18	Cadiz	41	11	10	20	-17	-6.7	43
19	Mirandes	41	10	10	21	-21	-5.7	40
20	Huesca	41	9	10	22	-22	-0.2	37
21	Cultural Leonesa	42	9	10	23	-29	-12.7	37
22	Zaragoza	41	8	12	21	-22	+2.9	36

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	21	14	4	3	+20	+10.4	46
2	Santander	20	14	2	4	+23	+3.7	44
3	Almeria	20	14	2	4	+21	+7.1	44
4	Malaga	21	12	7	2	+18	+5.3	43
5	Las Palmas	21	12	6	3	+19	+3.2	42
6	Castellon	20	12	4	4	+16	+1.2	40
7	Ceuta	21	12	4	5	+5	-0.4	40
8	Sp Gijon	21	11	6	4	+13	+3.0	39
9	La Coruna	20	11	5	4	+10	+2.3	38
10	Burgos	20	9	8	3	+12	+6.6	35
11	Cordoba	20	9	4	7	+0	+3.9	31
12	Albacete	21	9	4	8	-2	-0.2	31
13	Andorra	21	8	6	7	+6	+4.6	30
14	Sociedad B	21	7	8	6	+2	-0.2	29
15	Valladolid	21	8	5	8	+2	+4.0	29
16	Huesca	21	7	7	7	-1	+1.4	28
17	Granada	21	6	8	7	+3	+4.3	26
18	Leganes	20	6	6	8	-1	+7.6	24
19	Cadiz	21	7	2	12	-7	-1.9	23
20	Mirandes	21	6	5	10	-9	-1.6	23
21	Zaragoza	20	4	6	10	-11	+6.1	18
22	Cultural Leonesa	21	4	5	12	-17	+0.7	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	21	11	6	4	+12	-0.3	39
2	Santander	21	10	5	6	+3	-4.8	35
3	Burgos	21	10	4	7	+2	-1.3	34
4	Castellon	21	7	8	6	+2	+5.7	29
5	Cordoba	21	8	5	8	-4	+2.8	29
6	Andorra	20	8	4	8	+3	-1.7	28
7	Albacete	21	7	7	7	+3	+2.1	28
8	Las Palmas	20	7	7	6	-3	-2.5	28
9	Malaga	20	8	3	9	+3	+0.9	27
10	Almeria	21	7	6	8	-4	-5.1	27
11	Sp Gijon	21	7	1	13	-7	-1.8	22
12	Granada	21	6	4	11	-9	-5.5	22
13	Eibar	20	5	6	9	-7	-3.3	21
14	Ceuta	21	5	6	10	-17	-14.9	21
15	Cadiz	20	4	8	8	-10	-4.8	20
16	Cultural Leonesa	21	5	5	11	-12	-13.4	20
17	Leganes	21	4	7	10	-8	-4.4	19
18	Sociedad B	21	5	3	13	-11	-8.2	18
19	Zaragoza	21	4	6	11	-11	-3.2	18
20	Mirandes	20	4	5	11	-12	-4.1	17
21	Valladolid	20	4	5	11	-14	-1.9	17
22	Huesca	20	2	3	15	-21	-1.6	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.