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2. Bundesliga

Referee: D Siebert

Holstein Kiel

S S T S U

2–3

Full-time

Hamburg

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

43%

71%

Points per game

1,7

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

71%

14%

Both score Ø 36%

57%

14%

Average goals

3,4

1,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

22 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 8

10 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 7. · Hamburg 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	7	5	1	1	+13	16
2	Hamburg	7	5	0	2	+6	15
3	Heidenheim	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Darmstadt	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Hannover	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Holstein Kiel	7	3	3	1	+0	12
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Karlsruhe	7	3	1	3	+2	10
10	St Pauli	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Hansa Rostock	7	3	0	4	-4	9
12	Regensburg	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Sandhausen	7	2	1	4	-2	7
14	Nurnberg	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Bielefeld	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Greuther Furth	7	0	4	3	-5	4
17	Magdeburg	7	1	1	5	-9	4
18	Braunschweig	7	1	1	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Darmstadt	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	St Pauli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Heidenheim	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Holstein Kiel	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Hannover	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Kaiserslautern	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Sandhausen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Karlsruhe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Hansa Rostock	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Hamburg	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Regensburg	4	1	2	1	-4	5
14	Braunschweig	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Greuther Furth	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Bielefeld	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Nurnberg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Magdeburg	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Heidenheim	4	2	1	1	+3	7
3	Hannover	4	2	0	2	+2	6
4	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Kaiserslautern	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Holstein Kiel	4	1	2	1	-4	5
7	Karlsruhe	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Paderborn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Magdeburg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Regensburg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Hansa Rostock	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	Bielefeld	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	St Pauli	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sandhausen	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.