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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

Nurnberg

S S U T S

0–2

Full-time

Hamburg

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

40%

60%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

60%

20%

Both score Ø 30%

40%

20%

Average goals

2,6

1,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,4

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

16 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 12. · Hamburg 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	6	4	1	1	+12	13
2	Darmstadt	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Heidenheim	6	3	2	1	+6	11
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	3	2	1	+5	11
5	Karlsruhe	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Kaiserslautern	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Hamburg	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Hansa Rostock	6	3	0	3	-3	9
9	St Pauli	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Holstein Kiel	5	2	2	1	-1	8
11	Hannover	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Nurnberg	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Regensburg	6	2	1	3	-6	7
14	Sandhausen	5	2	0	3	-1	6
15	Bielefeld	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Greuther Furth	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Magdeburg	5	1	0	4	-8	3
18	Braunschweig	6	0	1	5	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Darmstadt	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	St Pauli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Karlsruhe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Hansa Rostock	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Sandhausen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Kaiserslautern	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Heidenheim	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Hannover	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Regensburg	3	1	1	1	-4	4
13	Hamburg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Bielefeld	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Greuther Furth	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Braunschweig	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Magdeburg	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	4	2	1	1	+3	7
2	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Kaiserslautern	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Karlsruhe	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Paderborn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Holstein Kiel	3	1	1	1	-4	4
10	Hannover	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Regensburg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Magdeburg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Hansa Rostock	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	Bielefeld	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	St Pauli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sandhausen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.