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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Fritz
Bielefeld
U T T S T
0–2
Full-time
Hamburg
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
14 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 10
1 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 17. · Hamburg 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 4 3 0 1 +7 9
2 Heidenheim 4 3 0 1 +6 9
3 Regensburg 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Kaiserslautern 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 Hamburg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Sandhausen 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Hansa Rostock 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Darmstadt 3 2 0 1 +0 6
10 Holstein Kiel 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 St Pauli 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Nurnberg 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Magdeburg 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Greuther Furth 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Hannover 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Karlsruhe 3 0 1 2 -6 1
17 Bielefeld 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Braunschweig 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld Hamburg
28′
R. Königsdörffer 0–1
S. Kittel
Sebastian Vasiliadis 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Moritz Heyer
G. Bello 🔁
↦ S. Sidler
61′
B. Kanurić 🔁
↦ S. Vasiliadis
61′
62′
🔁 L. Bénes
↦ M. Rohr
Robin Hack 🟨
64′
B. Lasme 🔁
↦ M. Okugawa
67′
74′
L. Bénes 0–2
L. Reis
George Bello 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 A. Opoku
↦ S. Kittel
Guilherme Ramos 🔁
↦ B. Oczipka
78′
F. Krüger 🔁
↦ M. Rzatkowski
78′
Oliver Hüsing 🟨
86′
89′
🔁 J. David
↦ R. Königsdörffer
89′
🔁 O. Megeed
↦ R. Glatzel
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-4-2
1 S. Kapino G
22 S. Sidler D
4 F. Jäkel D
6 O. Hüsing D
5 B. Oczipka D
11 M. Okugawa M
39 S. Vasiliadis M
16 M. Rzatkowski M
21 R. Hack M
23 J. Serra F
9 F. Klos F
Bench (9)
24 G. Bello
37 B. Kanurić
10 B. Lasme
3 Guilherme Ramos
18 F. Krüger
30 A. Andrade
2 L. Klünter
35 A. Schulz
14 J. Consbruch

Coach: U. Forte

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
1 Daniel Heuer G
3 M. Heyer D
44 M. Vušković D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
14 L. Reis M
23 J. Meffert M
11 R. Königsdörffer M
10 S. Kittel M
31 M. Rohr M
9 R. Glatzel F
Bench (9)
8 L. Bénes
29 A. Opoku
34 J. David
41 O. Megeed
7 F. Bilbija
21 T. Leibold
43 B. Andresen
19 M. Raab
42 O. Heil

Coach: T. Walter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,56
U
3,59
B ✓
1,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Fritz · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.