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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 8. · Greuther Furth 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 4 3 0 1 +7 9
2 Heidenheim 4 3 0 1 +6 9
3 Darmstadt 4 3 0 1 +4 9
4 Hamburg 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Holstein Kiel 4 2 2 0 +4 8
6 Regensburg 3 2 1 0 +5 7
7 Kaiserslautern 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Sandhausen 4 2 0 2 +0 6
10 Hansa Rostock 4 2 0 2 -3 6
11 St Pauli 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Nurnberg 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Karlsruhe 4 1 1 2 -5 4
14 Magdeburg 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Greuther Furth 3 0 2 1 -2 2
16 Hannover 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Bielefeld 4 0 0 4 -7 0
18 Braunschweig 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fortuna Dusseldorf Greuther Furth
Nicolas Gavory 🟨
10′
Rouwen Hennings 🟨
36′
43′
B. Hrgota 0–1
J. Green
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Ragnar Ache
46′
🔁 L. Schaffran
↦ A. Linde
Jordy de Wijs 🟨
49′
58′
🔁 D. Abiama
↦ R. Ache
1–1 A. Hoffmann
S. Appelkamp
62′
Andre Hoffmann ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
64′
F. Klaus 🔁
↦ R. Hennings
65′
J. Hendrix 🔁
↦ M. Sobottka
65′
K. Peterson 🔁
↦ S. Appelkamp
65′
65′
🔁 O. Mhamdi
↦ J. Green
2–1 D. Kownacki
K. Peterson
72′
75′
ℹ️ Tobias Raschl
VAR: Penalty confirmed
78′
B. Hrgota 2–2
86′
🔁 A. Sieb
↦ T. Tillman
K. Baah 🔁
↦ D. Ginczek
90′
M. Karbownik 🔁
↦ T. Oberdorf
90′
92′
🟨 Gian-Luca Itter
94′
🟨 Oualid Mhamdi
96′
🟨 Dickson Abiama
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-3-1-2
33 F. Kastenmeier G
15 T. Oberdorf D
3 A. Hoffmann D
30 J. de Wijs D
34 N. Gavory D
4 A. Tanaka M
31 M. Sobottka M
23 S. Appelkamp M
9 D. Kownacki M
10 D. Ginczek F
28 R. Hennings F
Bench (9)
11 F. Klaus
29 J. Hendrix
7 K. Peterson
14 K. Baah
8 M. Karbownik
22 B. Böckle
19 E. Iyoha
1 R. Wolf
5 C. Klarer

Coach: D. Thioune

Greuther Furth

4-3-1-2
1 A. Linde G
2 S. Asta D
19 O. Fobassam D
5 O. Haddadi D
27 L. Itter D
20 T. Raschl M
13 M. Christiansen M
37 J. Green M
21 T. Tillman M
10 B. Hrgota F
39 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
25 L. Schaffran
11 D. Abiama
3 O. Mhamdi
30 A. Sieb
6 S. Raebiger
8 N. Seufert
31 D. Angleberger
15 J. Willems
40 B. Schlicke

Coach: M. Schneider

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U ✓
3,55
B
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.