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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Stegemann

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T U U S T

3–1

Full-time

Hansa Rostock

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Hansa Rostock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

86%

29%

Both score Ø 43%

71%

14%

Average goals

3,1

2,0

Scored

1,9

0,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 8. · Hansa Rostock 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	8	6	1	1	+16	19
2	Hamburg	8	6	0	2	+7	18
3	Heidenheim	8	4	3	1	+7	15
4	Darmstadt	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Hannover	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Holstein Kiel	8	3	3	2	-1	12
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Karlsruhe	8	3	2	3	+2	11
10	Nurnberg	8	3	1	4	-4	10
11	St Pauli	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Hansa Rostock	7	3	0	4	-4	9
13	Regensburg	8	2	2	4	-9	8
14	Sandhausen	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Bielefeld	8	1	2	5	-5	5
16	Braunschweig	8	1	2	5	-10	5
17	Greuther Furth	7	0	4	3	-5	4
18	Magdeburg	7	1	1	5	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Darmstadt	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Hannover	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	St Pauli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Heidenheim	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Holstein Kiel	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Karlsruhe	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Kaiserslautern	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Sandhausen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Hansa Rostock	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Hamburg	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Nurnberg	4	2	0	2	-2	6
14	Regensburg	4	1	2	1	-4	5
15	Braunschweig	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Greuther Furth	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Bielefeld	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Magdeburg	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Heidenheim	5	2	2	1	+3	8
3	Hannover	4	2	0	2	+2	6
4	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Kaiserslautern	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Holstein Kiel	4	1	2	1	-4	5
7	Karlsruhe	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Paderborn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Magdeburg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Regensburg	4	1	0	3	-5	3
13	Hansa Rostock	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	St Pauli	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Bielefeld	5	0	2	3	-3	2
16	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	Sandhausen	3	0	0	3	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.