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Eliteserien
Referee: M Grøtta
Tromso
T S T U T
3–3
Full-time
Ham-Kam
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Ham-Kam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 31%
31%
31%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
54%
38%
Both score Ø 37%
31%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,82 xG 1,79
64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 11. · Ham-Kam 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 26 16 6 4 +35 +21.1 54
2 Brann 26 15 7 4 +19 +13.1 52
3 Viking 27 14 8 5 +17 +15.5 50
4 Molde 26 14 5 7 +28 +18.2 47
5 Rosenborg 26 13 4 9 +6 -0.2 43
6 Fredrikstad 26 12 7 7 +2 +2.5 43
7 KFUM Oslo 26 8 10 8 +0 +6.3 34
8 Ham-Kam 26 8 8 10 +0 -3.2 32
9 Stromsgodset 26 8 8 10 -7 -6.1 32
10 Kristiansund 26 7 9 10 -9 -9.1 30
11 Tromso 26 8 5 13 -9 -13.3 29
12 Sarpsborg 08 26 8 5 13 -14 -5.7 29
13 Sandefjord 27 7 7 13 -8 -2.7 28
14 Haugesund 26 6 6 14 -17 -8.8 24
15 Lillestrom 26 7 3 16 -22 -6.9 24
16 Odd 26 5 8 13 -21 -20.5 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Ham-Kam
23′
M. Mawa 0–1
W. Kurtović
25′
M. Mawa 0–2
G. Simenstad
1–2 V. Erlien
30′
Half-time 1–2
49′
🟨 Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason
2–2 L. Nordås
K. Antonsen
51′
3–2 V. Erlien
67′
72′
🔁 K. Onsrud
↦ A. Ekeroth
72′
🔁 H. Udahl
↦ M. Johnsgård
Vetle Skjaervik 🟨
73′
J. Romsaas 🔁
↦ L. Nordås
83′
Y. Paintsil 🔁
↦ L. Cornic
84′
84′
🔁 J. Norheim
↦ M. Mawa
Yaw Paintsil 🟨
92′
94′
J. Norheim 3–3
W. Kurtović
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Haugaard G
14 M. Barry D
21 T. Guddal D
4 V. Skjærvik D
2 L. Cornic M
6 J. Hjertø-Dahl M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen M
23 R. Norheim M
9 L. Nordås F
15 V. Erlien F
Bench (9)
10 J. Romsaas
17 Y. Paintsil
20 D. Edvardsson
28 C. Psyché
5 A. Jenssen
25 L. Nilsen
12 S. Thomas
22 F. Christensen
30 I. Vådebu

Coach: J. Vik

Ham-Kam

5-3-2
12 M. Sandberg G
22 S. Strand Nilsen
14 L. Mares D
23 F. Sjølstad D
26 B. Bjarnason D
5 A. Ekeroth D
18 G. Simenstad M
19 W. Kurtović M
8 M. Johnsgård M
77 M. Ofkir F
10 M. Mawa F
Bench (7)
7 K. Onsrud
9 H. Udahl
6 J. Norheim
2 V. Kongsro
25 J. Rasen
24 A. Ødegård
30 A. Nilsson

Coach: J. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Grøtta · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.