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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Troyes
T T T S S
1–4
Full-time
Angers
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 42%
24%
59%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
47%
29%
Both score Ø 41%
53%
29%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 15. · Angers 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 18 10 5 3 +18 35
2 Angers 17 10 4 3 +13 34
3 Laval 17 10 3 4 +6 33
4 Pau FC 17 8 5 4 +3 29
5 Grenoble 17 7 7 3 +4 28
6 Guingamp 17 7 6 4 +9 27
7 Ajaccio 18 7 6 5 +1 27
8 St Etienne 18 7 4 7 -1 25
9 Rodez 17 6 5 6 +1 23
10 Paris FC 17 7 2 8 +0 23
11 Amiens 17 6 5 6 -4 23
12 Caen 17 6 4 7 +1 22
13 Bastia 17 5 5 7 -1 20
14 Bordeaux 18 5 5 8 -7 20
15 Troyes 17 4 7 6 +0 19
16 Annecy 17 4 7 6 -4 19
17 Concarneau 17 5 4 8 -6 19
18 Quevilly Rouen 17 3 6 8 -4 15
19 Dunkerque 17 3 4 10 -16 13
20 Valenciennes 17 1 8 8 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Angers
0–1 F. Hanin
own goal
8′
31′
P. Capelle 0–2
33′
Z. Ferhat 0–3
34′
L. Diony 0–4
Y. Valery
Yvann Titi 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–5
55′
H. Abdelli 0–5
J. Bahoya
D. Mazou-Sacko 🔁
↦ A. Lefebvre
61′
A. Bruus 🔁
↦ A. Kanté
62′
69′
🔁 F. El Melali
↦ J. Bahoya
70′
🔁 Z. Ould Khaled
↦ J. Lopy
73′
🟨 Yan Valery
75′
🔁 I. Niané
↦ L. Diony
76′
🔁 L. Rao-Lisoa
↦ Z. Ferhat
79′
🔁 A. Hunou
↦ P. Capelle
N. Cervantes 🔁
↦ R. Saïd
81′
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Troyes

4-2-3-1
38 D. Alemdar G
36 Y. Titi D
33 R. Kohon D
5 M. Tahrat D
12 Abdu Conté D
42 A. Kanté M
10 Y. M'Changama M
34 A. Lefebvre M
21 L. Ilić M
27 K. Dong M
11 R. Saïd F
Bench (7)
39 D. Mazou-Sacko
19 A. Bruus
26 N. Cervantes
16 N. Lemaître
31 D. Dongmo
32 M. Hamdi
37 E. N'jo

Coach: D. Guion

Angers

4-4-1-1
30 Y. Fofana G
2 Y. Valery D
22 C. Hountondji D
21 J. Lefort D
26 F. Hanin D
20 Z. Ferhat M
8 J. Lopy M
15 P. Capelle M
24 J. Bahoya M
10 H. Abdelli F
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
28 F. El Melali
12 Z. Ould Khaled
7 I. Niané
27 L. Rao-Lisoa
23 A. Hunou
16 M. Zinga
29 O. Camara

Coach: A. Dujeux

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,95
U
3,51
B ✓
1,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.