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Ligue 1

Referee: Romain Lissorgue

Lille

T S U S T

2–0

Full-time

Troyes

S T U S T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%

13 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 5. · Troyes 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.1	10
2	Rennes	4	3	1	0	+3	-1.2	10
3	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+4	-1.0	8
4	Paris FC	4	2	2	0	+4	+3.0	8
5	Lille	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.9	7
6	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.8	7
7	Brest	3	1	2	0	+1	+3.9	5
8	Lorient	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.7	5
9	Angers	4	1	1	2	-1	+0.5	4
10	Troyes	3	1	1	1	-3	-0.4	4
11	Lens	3	1	0	2	+1	+3.7	3
12	Marseille	4	1	0	3	+0	+1.4	3
13	Auxerre	4	1	0	3	-6	-2.3	3
14	Paris SG	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.5	2
15	Le Mans	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.1	2
16	Le Havre	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.8	2
17	Toulouse	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.2	2
18	Nice	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.2	7
2	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.6	4
3	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
4	Strasbourg	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
5	Marseille	2	1	0	1	+3	+1.7	3
6	Lens	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.6	3
7	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
8	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
9	Nice	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
10	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
11	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
12	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
13	Lorient	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
14	Le Havre	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.8	1
15	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-4	-1.4	1
16	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.8	0
18	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	-3	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.8	7
2	Lille	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.8	6
3	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.3	4
4	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.1	4
5	Brest	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
6	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
7	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
8	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
9	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
10	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
11	Toulouse	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.9	2
12	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
13	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
14	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.1	1
15	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
16	Marseille	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.3	0
17	Nice	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.6	0
18	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.