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Ligue 1
Referee: K Abed
Angers
T T T T U
2–1
Full-time
Troyes
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
2,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 10%
8%
11%
Points per game
0,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
69%
64%
Both score Ø 65%
61%
69%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,26 xG 0,32
60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
14 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 20. · Troyes 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 36 27 3 6 +50 +8.9 84
2 Lens 36 23 9 4 +34 +7.6 78
3 Marseille 36 22 7 7 +29 +11.1 73
4 Monaco 36 19 8 9 +15 +4.0 65
5 Lille 36 18 9 9 +20 +14.1 63
6 Rennes 36 19 5 12 +27 +7.3 62
7 Lyon 36 17 8 11 +17 +2.0 59
8 Clermont 36 15 8 13 -7 -1.1 53
9 Nice 36 13 13 10 +8 +6.3 52
10 Lorient 36 14 10 12 +0 -6.2 52
11 Reims 36 12 15 9 +5 +10.4 51
12 Montpellier 36 14 5 17 +2 +0.3 47
13 Toulouse 36 12 8 16 -7 +0.8 44
14 Brest 36 10 11 15 -10 -6.7 41
15 Strasbourg 36 9 12 15 -7 +4.7 39
16 Auxerre 36 8 10 18 -26 -5.1 34
17 Nantes 36 6 15 15 -18 -7.3 33
18 Troyes 36 4 11 21 -35 -26.1 23
19 Ajaccio 36 6 5 25 -49 -9.6 23
20 Angers 36 3 6 27 -48 -15.3 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Troyes
13′
X. Chavalerin 0–1
Y. Larouci
27′
🔁 R. Kohon
↦ Abdu Conté
1–1 H. Abdelli
38′
Half-time 1–1
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ A. Hunou
46′
60′
🔁 Mama Baldé
↦ K. Dong
M. Blažič 🔁
↦ C. Hountondji
64′
Ibrahima Niane 🟨
67′
L. Diony 🔁
↦ I. Niane
67′
78′
🟨 Rominigue Kouamé
L. Rao-Lisoa 🔁
↦ S. Thioub
82′
F. El Melali 🔁
↦ H. Šabanović
82′
83′
🔁 A. Bruus
↦ I. Ugbo
2–1 L. Rao-Lisoa
P. Capelle
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Angers

5-3-2
30 Y. Fofana G
92 S. Thioub D
94 Y. Valery D
22 C. Hountondji D
25 A. Bamba D
4 H. Šabanović D
10 H. Abdelli M
2 B. Mendy M
23 A. Hunou M
7 I. Niane F
19 A. Sima F
Bench (9)
15 P. Capelle
5 M. Blažič
9 L. Diony
37 L. Rao-Lisoa
28 F. El Melali
70 Y. Gaya
12 Z. Ould Khaled
24 J. Bahoya
1 P. Bernardoni

Coach: A. Dujeux

Troyes

3-4-2-1
1 M. Lis G
2 J. Porozo D
4 E. Palmer-Brown D
12 Abdu Conté D
18 T. Baldé M
6 R. Kouamé M
24 X. Chavalerin M
39 Y. Larouci M
11 Rony Lopes F
27 K. Dong F
9 I. Ugbo F
Bench (8)
33 R. Kohon
7 Mama Baldé
19 A. Bruus
31 D. Dongmo
40 J. Moulin
28 D. Mazou-Sacko
36 R. Fage
26 P. Yade

Coach: P. Kisnorbo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,72
B
3,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.