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Primeira Liga

Referee: Cláudio Pereira

Boavista

U S S T T

1–0

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 1

4 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boavista 11. · Pacos Ferreira 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Sp Braga	5	4	1	0	+15	13
3	Porto	5	4	0	1	+8	12
4	Portimonense	5	4	0	1	+5	12
5	Casa Pia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Estoril	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Chaves	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Sp Lisbon	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Arouca	5	2	1	2	-8	7
10	Guimaraes	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	Boavista	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Vizela	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Gil Vicente	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Rio Ave	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Santa Clara	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Famalicao	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	0	4	-8	0
18	Maritimo	5	0	0	5	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Casa Pia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Estoril	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Boavista	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Famalicao	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-5	3
15	Vizela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Portimonense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Chaves	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Porto	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Casa Pia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Vizela	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Sp Lisbon	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Arouca	3	1	1	1	-3	4
10	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Boavista	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Gil Vicente	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Famalicao	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Santa Clara	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.