Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Pacos Ferreira
Portimonense
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Porto
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 3 |
Boavista
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |
Guimaraes
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 |
Sp Braga
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 6 |
Sp Lisbon
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Chaves
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 9 |
Gil Vicente
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 10 |
Vizela
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 11 |
Arouca
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 |
Santa Clara
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 |
Casa Pia
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 |
Portimonense
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 |
Maritimo
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 |
Famalicao
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Nuno Lima
D
Pedro Ganchas
D
J. Holsgrove
M
N. Thomas
M
Matchoi Djaló
M
Coach: César Peixoto
Samuel
G
Filipe Relvas
D
Coach: Paulo Sérgio
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Gil Vicente
Pacos Ferreira
Pacos Ferreira
Benfica
Santa Clara
Pacos Ferreira
Pacos Ferreira
Tondela
Gil Vicente
Pacos Ferreira
João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.