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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Benfica

S S S S S

3–2

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

2,7

0,2

Conceded

0,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-1,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

2,7

0,0

Conceded

0,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

68% Possession 32%

27 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 2

10 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

13 Corners 3

5 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 2. · Pacos Ferreira 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+14	10
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Porto	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Portimonense	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Estoril	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Chaves	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Casa Pia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Guimaraes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Boavista	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Arouca	4	2	0	2	-8	6
11	Vizela	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Gil Vicente	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Sp Lisbon	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Rio Ave	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Famalicao	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Santa Clara	4	0	1	3	-3	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-7	0
18	Maritimo	4	0	0	4	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+5	4
3	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Casa Pia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Boavista	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Famalicao	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-5	3
14	Vizela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Portimonense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Chaves	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Vizela	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Casa Pia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Porto	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Boavista	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Gil Vicente	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Sp Lisbon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Santa Clara	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.