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Primeira Liga
Referee: Gustavo Correia
Santa Clara
T U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Maritimo
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-2,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,3
3,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-2,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Santa Clara 16. · Maritimo 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 5 5 0 0 +10 15
2 Sp Braga 5 4 1 0 +15 13
3 Porto 5 4 0 1 +8 12
4 Portimonense 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Casa Pia 5 2 2 1 +2 8
6 Estoril 5 2 1 2 +2 7
7 Chaves 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Sp Lisbon 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Arouca 5 2 1 2 -8 7
10 Guimaraes 5 2 0 3 -1 6
11 Boavista 4 2 0 2 -3 6
12 Vizela 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Gil Vicente 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Rio Ave 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Famalicao 4 1 1 2 -4 4
16 Santa Clara 4 0 1 3 -3 1
17 Pacos Ferreira 4 0 0 4 -8 0
18 Maritimo 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Maritimo
9′
🔁 Edgar Costa
↦ Pablo Moreno
14′
🔁 M. Mosquera
↦ Matheus Costa
15′
🟨 Diogo Mendes
36′
Bruno Xadas 0–1
M. Mosquera
Paulo 🟨
39′
41′
ℹ️ Diogo Mendes
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Half-time 0–1
Ricardinho 🔁
↦ Rildo
46′
Allano 🔁
↦ Xavi Quintillà
46′
1–1 Allano
52′
53′
🟥 André Vidigal
54′
🟨 Edgar Costa
55′
ℹ️ André Vidigal
VAR:
58′
🟨 Moises Mosquera
2–1 Matheus Babi
Adriano
60′
67′
🔁 Antonio Zarzana
↦ Bruno Xadas
67′
🔁 L. Vega
↦ J. Soñora
67′
🔁 Rafael Brito
↦ Diogo Mendes
K. Tagawa 🔁
↦ Matheus Babi
72′
Anderson Carvalho 🔁
↦ Adriano
72′
Kennedy Boateng 🟨
77′
C. Tassano 🔁
↦ P. Sagna
86′
Anderson Carvalho 🟨
91′
99′
🟨 Rafael Brito
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Santa Clara

5-4-1
99 Marco Pereira G
95 P. Sagna D
4 K. Boateng D
43 Paulo D
16 Paulo Henrique D
3 Xavi Quintillà D
49 Gabriel Silva M
80 Victor Bobsin M
20 Adriano M
37 Rildo M
39 Matheus Babi F
Bench (9)
10 Ricardinho
7 Allano
9 K. Tagawa
8 Anderson Carvalho
17 C. Tassano
32 MT
21 Andrézinho
35 Pedro Bicalho
1 Ricardo Fernandes

Coach: Mário Silva

Maritimo

3-5-2
1 Miguel Silva G
4 Matheus Costa D
66 Léo Andrade D
94 Vítor Costa D
2 Cláudio Winck M
23 Bruno Xadas M
8 J. Soñora M
16 Diogo Mendes M
7 André Vidigal M
95 J. Tagueu F
9 Pablo Moreno F
Bench (9)
12 Edgar Costa
3 M. Mosquera
17 Antonio Zarzana
34 L. Vega
6 Rafael Brito
45 Fábio China
21 João Afonso
11 C. Ramírez
80 Bruno Pereira

Coach: Vasco Seabra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,23
B
3,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,23
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.