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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hélder Malheiro
Boavista
T S U U S
2–1
Full-time
Santa Clara
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Santa Clara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
0,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Boavista 6. · Santa Clara 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Sp Braga 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Porto 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Estoril 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Boavista 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Gil Vicente 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Vizela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Guimaraes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Santa Clara 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Casa Pia 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Portimonense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Pacos Ferreira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Chaves 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
16 Arouca 1 0 0 1 -4 0
17 Rio Ave 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Famalicao 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Santa Clara
23′
🟨 Bruno Almeida
23′
ℹ️ Bruno Almeida
VAR: Card upgrade
28′
🟨 Victor Bobsin
34′
Rildo 0–1
Paulo Henrique
40′
🟨 Cristian Tassano
Half-time 0–1
Filipe Ferreira 🟨
47′
51′
🟨 Bruno Almeida
51′
🟥 Bruno Almeida
57′
🟨 Rildo
57′
🟨 Anderson Carvalho
1–1 Y. Njie
Y. Hamache
62′
Yusupha Njie 🟨
63′
Martim Tavares 🔁
↦ Filipe Ferreira
64′
65′
🔁 Gabriel Silva
↦ K. Tagawa
65′
🔁 Xavi Quintillà
↦ Anderson Carvalho
65′
🔁 Adriano
↦ Rildo
2–1 Martim Tavares
Pedro Malheiro
66′
79′
🔁 Andrézinho
↦ P. Sagna
79′
🔁 Rodrigo Valente
↦ Victor Bobsin
Tiago Morais 🔁
↦ Luís Santos
90′
Julio Dabo 🔁
↦ K. Gorré
90′
92′
🟨 Cristian Tassano
92′
🟥 Cristian Tassano
Rafael Bracali 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Boavista

3-4-3
1 Rafael Bracali G
2 R. Cannon D
26 R. Abascal D
20 Filipe Ferreira D
79 Pedro Malheiro M
24 S. Pérez M
42 G. Makouta M
25 Y. Hamache M
77 Luís Santos F
11 Y. Njie F
7 K. Gorré F
Bench (9)
59 Martim Tavares
73 Tiago Morais
55 Julio Dabo
62 Pedro Gomes
99 João Gonçalves
27 J. De Santis
80 Berna
18 I. Vukotić
16 Joel da Silva

Coach: Petit

Santa Clara

4-2-3-1
99 Marco Pereira G
95 P. Sagna D
4 K. Boateng D
17 C. Tassano D
16 Paulo Henrique D
8 Anderson Carvalho M
80 Victor Bobsin M
37 Rildo M
19 Bruno Almeida M
7 Allano M
9 K. Tagawa F
Bench (9)
49 Gabriel Silva
3 Xavi Quintillà
20 Adriano
21 Andrézinho
15 Rodrigo Valente
1 Ricardo Fernandes
14 Rúben Oliveira
41 Ricardo Silva
43 Paulo

Coach: Mário Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,52
U
3,10
B
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,32
U2,5
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Hélder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.