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Conference League
Referee: M Al-Hakim
Sion
S S U S S
2–4
Full-time
Ajax
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,2
4,0
Scored
2,7
2,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
75%
100%
Both score Ø 88%
75%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,5
Scored
2,3
3,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sion Ajax
Baltazar 🟨
30′
1–0 F. Surdez
A. Kabacalman
34′
36′
🟨 Youri Regeer
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Mokio
↦ Y. Regeer
53′
J. Brandt 1–1
60′
Marcos Leonardo 1–2
69′
🟨 Jorthy Mokio
2–2 I. Chouaref
72′
73′
🔁 O. Wijndal
↦ Caio Henrique
73′
🔁 A. Ouazane
↦ O. Gloukh
73′
🔁 T. Arokodare
↦ Marcos Leonardo
74′
T. Arokodare 2–3
D. Rrudhani 🔁
↦ F. Surdez
75′
F. Sylla 🔁
↦ R. Nivokazi
75′
77′
🟨 Anton Gaaei
78′
🔁 L. Rosa
↦ A. Gaaei
J. Lukembila 🔁
↦ Baltazar
82′
T. Berdayes 🔁
↦ W. Boteli
82′
B. Kololli 🔁
↦ I. Chouaref
85′
87′
D. Klaassen 2–4
T. Arokodare
95′
🟨 Lucas Rosa
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Sion

4-2-3-1
1 A. Racioppi G
14 N. Lavanchy D
5 N. Sow D
17 J. Kronig D
20 N. Hefti D
88 A. Kabacalman M
8 Baltazar M
7 I. Chouaref M
13 W. Boteli M
19 F. Surdez M
33 R. Nivokazi F
Bench (12)
12 F. Ruberto
40 S. Caillet
6 Marquinhos Cipriano
55 L. Villa
38 R. Kessler
10 B. Kololli
77 D. Rrudhani
21 L. Chipperfield
37 F. Sylla
9 J. Lukembila
29 T. Berdayes
22 A. Llukes

Coach: Didier Tholot

Ajax

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 A. Gaaei D
30 A. Bouwman D
15 Y. Baas D
12 Caio Henrique D
18 D. Klaassen M
6 Y. Regeer M
8 J. Brandt M
23 S. Berghuis F
38 Marcos Leonardo F
10 O. Gloukh F
Bench (12)
22 J. Heerkens
26 M. Paes
5 O. Wijndal
37 J. Sutalo
36 D. Janse
21 J. Torrents
2 L. Rosa
68 A. Ouazane
24 J. Mokio
9 K. Dolberg
20 O. Edvardsen
99 T. Arokodare

Coach: Michel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.