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Conference League
Referee: J Weinberger
Ajax
S S U U S
5–3
Full-time
Sion
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Sion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
4,2
Scored
2,8
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
80%
40%
Points per game
2,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
100%
80%
Both score Ø 90%
100%
80%
Average goals
4,8
3,8
Scored
3,4
2,2
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

55% Possession 45%
26 Shots 11
15 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 Sion – Ajax 2–4

Match report

Ajax Sion
1–0 Y. Baas ⚽
1′
18′
⚽ W. Boteli 1–1
J. Mokio 🔁
↦ Y. Regeer
23′
36′
⚽ W. Boteli 1–2
2–2 D. Klaassen ⚽
L. Rosa
39′
3–2 T. Arokodare ⚽
A. Ouazane
45′
Half-time 3–2
O. Edvardsen 🔁
↦ S. Berghuis
46′
50′
🟨 Noé Sow
4–2 T. Arokodare ⚽
A. Ouazane
51′
5–2 O. Edvardsen ⚽
Caio Henrique
54′
56′
🔁 Marquinhos Cipriano
↦ N. Hefti
56′
🔁 D. Rrudhani
↦ R. Nivokazi
56′
🔁 J. Lukembila
↦ F. Surdez
59′
🟨 Numa Lavanchy
D. Janse 🔁
↦ D. Klaassen
60′
O. Gloukh 🔁
↦ J. Brandt
60′
Marcos Leonardo 🔁
↦ T. Arokodare
60′
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
64′
67′
🔁 F. Sylla
↦ A. Kabacalman
67′
🔁 T. Berdayes
↦ I. Chouaref
83′
ℹ️ Winsley Boteli Mokango
VAR: Penalty cancelled
85′
⚽ 5–3
90′
⚽ W. Boteli 5–4
F. Sylla
Full-time 5–4

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
2 L. Rosa D
30 A. Bouwman D
15 Y. Baas D
12 Caio Henrique D
18 D. Klaassen M
6 Y. Regeer M
8 J. Brandt M
23 S. Berghuis F
99 T. Arokodare F
68 A. Ouazane F
Bench (12)
22 J. Heerkens
26 M. Paes
5 O. Wijndal
3 A. Gaaei
36 D. Janse
21 J. Torrents
10 O. Gloukh
24 J. Mokio
67 M. Abdalla
9 K. Dolberg
20 O. Edvardsen
38 Marcos Leonardo

Coach: Michel

Sion

4-2-3-1
1 A. Racioppi G
14 N. Lavanchy D
5 N. Sow D
17 J. Kronig D
20 N. Hefti D
88 A. Kabacalman M
8 Baltazar M
7 I. Chouaref M
13 W. Boteli M
19 F. Surdez M
33 R. Nivokazi F
Bench (12)
12 F. Ruberto
40 S. Caillet
6 Marquinhos Cipriano
55 L. Villa
38 R. Kessler
10 B. Kololli
77 D. Rrudhani
21 L. Chipperfield
37 F. Sylla
9 J. Lukembila
29 T. Berdayes
22 A. Llukes

Coach: Didier Tholot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.