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Conference League
Referee: C Pereira
Shelbourne
T U S T T
2–2
Full-time
Ajax
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shelbourne Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,7
4,7
Scored
2,3
3,7
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

28% Possession 72%
12 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 11
6 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -26 Ajax – Shelbourne 3–1

Match report

Shelbourne Ajax
20′
⚽ J. Brandt 0–1
J. Mokio
23′
🟨 Aaron Bouwman
1–1 R. Freitas ⚽
E. Caffrey
24′
25′
🟨 Marcos Leonardo
Rodrigo Freitas 🟨
27′
39′
⚽ A. Gaaei 1–2
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 Y. Baas
↦ D. Blind
57′
🔁 A. Ouazane
↦ J. Brandt
57′
🔁 T. Arokodare
↦ Marcos Leonardo
S. Gannon 🔁
↦ S. Bone
60′
Milan Mbeng ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
65′
69′
🔁 Caio Henrique
↦ O. Wijndal
Jonathan Lunney 🟨
70′
70′
🔁 D. Janse
↦ M. Carrizo
J. Roche 🔁
↦ J. Lunney
72′
D. Ring 🔁
↦ R. Freitas
72′
James Roche 🟨
74′
S. Moore 🔁
↦ M. Mbeng
81′
W. Jarvis 🔁
↦ J. Norris
81′
2–2 S. Moore ⚽
E. Caffrey
85′
Sean Gannon 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Shelbourne

3-5-2
19 E. Beach G
15 S. Bone D
16 O. Casey D
4 K. Ledwidge D
25 M. Mbeng M
27 E. Caffrey M
6 J. Lunney M
23 K. McInroy M
18 J. Norris M
17 D. Kelly F
20 R. Freitas F
Bench (8)
13 M. Johnson
55 J. Roche
2 S. Gannon
60 C. Ryan
22 S. Moore
44 D. Ring
36 W. Jarvis
56 J. Wuna

Coach: Lorcan Fitzgerald

Ajax

4-3-3
26 M. Paes G
3 A. Gaaei D
30 A. Bouwman D
17 D. Blind D
5 O. Wijndal D
8 J. Brandt M
6 Y. Regeer M
24 J. Mokio M
7 M. Carrizo F
38 Marcos Leonardo F
20 O. Edvardsen F
Bench (12)
1 M. ter Stegen
22 J. Heerkens
15 Y. Baas
36 D. Janse
12 Caio Henrique
2 L. Rosa
68 A. Ouazane
18 D. Klaassen
10 O. Gloukh
9 K. Dolberg
99 T. Arokodare
11 M. Godts

Coach: Michel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Pereira · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.