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Eredivisie
Referee: J van der Laan
Ajax
T U T U S
2–0
Full-time
Telstar
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Telstar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,68 xG 1,26
62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 10
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Dec -24 Ajax – Telstar 2–0

Match report

Ajax Telstar
1–0 W. Weghorst ⚽
S. Berghuis
19′
Half-time 1–0
A. Gaaei 🔁
↦ Y. Regeer
62′
O. Gloukh 🔁
↦ B. Traore
63′
M. Godts 🔁
↦ R. Moro
63′
67′
🔁 N. Ogidi Nwankwo
↦ P. Brouwer
67′
🔁 S. Hagedoorn
↦ S. Hetli
75′
🔁 A. Lechkar
↦ J. Hardeveld
76′
🔁 D. Mertens
↦ T. Noslin
2–0 W. Weghorst ⚽
S. Berghuis
83′
85′
🔁 D. Malone
↦ T. Owusu
J. Mokio 🔁
↦ D. Klaassen
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
1 V. Jaros G
6 Y. Regeer D
30 A. Bouwman D
15 Y. Baas D
5 O. Wijndal D
23 S. Berghuis M
18 D. Klaassen M
8 K. Taylor M
20 B. Traore F
25 W. Weghorst F
7 R. Moro F
Bench (12)
12 J. Heerkens
22 R. Pasveer
3 A. Gaaei
36 D. Janse
24 J. Mokio
2 L. Rosa
42 N. Verschuren
28 K. Fitz-Jim
10 O. Gloukh
19 D. Konadu
17 O. Edvardsen
11 M. Godts

Coach: Oscar Garcia Junyent

Telstar

3-4-2-1
1 R. Koeman G
21 D. Koswal D
4 G. Offerhaus D
6 D. Bakker D
11 T. Noslin M
8 T. Owusu M
17 N. Rossen M
2 J. Hardeveld M
7 S. Hetli F
27 P. Brouwer F
9 M. Zonneveld F
Bench (11)
13 T. Bodak
20 D. Reiziger
24 A. Benzzine
15 A. Lechkar
29 D. Malone
5 N. Ogidi Nwankwo
26 J. van Schooneveld
16 D. Mertens
18 R. van Ekeris
19 S. Hagedoorn
28 R. Oudsten

Coach: Anthony Correia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,15
🔒
U
7,78
🔒
B
15,16
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,33
🔒
U2,5 ✓
3,15
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.