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Referee: S van der Eijk

Ajax

S U T T S

2–0

Full-time

Telstar

S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Telstar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 46%

67%

25%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

18 Shots 4

8 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Noordwijk	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Barendrecht	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Sparta Nijkerk	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Rijnsburgse Boys	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	ASWH	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Eemdijk	4	3	0	1	-1	9
7	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+9	6
8	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+7	6
9	Waalwijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Winterswijk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
14	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
15	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
19	SC Genemuiden	3	2	0	1	+1	6
20	Quick '20	3	2	0	1	+0	6
21	Hercules	3	2	0	1	-2	6
22	Rijnvogels	3	2	0	1	-2	6
23	Dovo	3	2	0	1	-2	6
24	AFC Amsterdam	3	2	0	1	-3	6
25	Koninklijke HFC	3	2	0	1	-5	6
26	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+5	4
27	FC Lisse	3	1	1	1	+0	4
28	Kolping Boys	3	1	1	1	-3	4
29	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+8	3
30	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+5	3
31	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
32	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Katwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	ADO '20	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	RKAVV	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Vvsb	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Ajax Amateurs	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+0	3
54	Achilles Veen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Hoek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	TEC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
63	Zwaluw VFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
64	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
107	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Rijnsburgse Boys	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Noordwijk	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Waalwijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	ASWH	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	AFC Amsterdam	3	2	0	1	-3	6
10	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+8	3
11	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	ADO '20	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Winterswijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	SC Genemuiden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Dovo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
31	Hercules	2	1	0	1	-4	3
32	Eemdijk	2	1	0	1	-4	3
33	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-5	3
34	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Katwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Ajax Amateurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	RKAVV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Quick '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Kolping Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
10	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
14	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	ASWH	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	RKAVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Ajax Amateurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Capelle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-6	3
38	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
41	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Achilles Veen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	TEC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.