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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kooij
Vitesse
S S T T T
0–4
Full-time
Heerenveen
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
3,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,5
0,0
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
4,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%
4 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 17. · Heerenveen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Excelsior 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Twente 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Feyenoord 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
8 Waalwijk 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Utrecht 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Heerenveen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Cambuur 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Volendam 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 FC Emmen 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Groningen 2 0 1 1 -5 1
16 For Sittard 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 Vitesse 2 0 0 2 -5 0
18 Go Ahead Eagles 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Heerenveen
5′
S. van Hooijdonk 0–1
A. Sarr
M. Sankoh 🔁
↦ T. Hájek
33′
Toni Domgjoni 🟨
36′
36′
🟨 Anas Tahiri
Maximilian Wittek 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–2
48′
A. Sarr 0–2
A. Tahiri
D. Huisman 🔁
↦ M. Meulensteen
64′
69′
🟨 Thom Haye
71′
🔁 S. Olsson
↦ T. Halilović
72′
S. van Hooijdonk 0–3
A. Sarr
77′
S. van Hooijdonk 0–4
A. Sarr
79′
🔁 A. Timossi Andersson
↦ S. van Hooijdonk
79′
🔁 R. Kaib
↦ T. Haye
79′
🔁 S. van Ottele
↦ A. Tahiri
T. Buitink 🔁
↦ M. Manhoef
81′
R. Flamingo 🔁
↦ N. Frederiksen
81′
82′
🔁 R. Al Hajj
↦ A. Sarr
Matúš Bero 🟨
86′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Vitesse

5-4-1
16 K. Scherpen G
2 C. Arcus D
5 Ferro D
13 E. Cornelisse D
18 T. Hájek D
32 M. Wittek D
42 M. Manhoef M
21 M. Bero M
20 M. Meulensteen M
22 T. Domgjoni M
11 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (9)
9 M. Sankoh
23 D. Huisman
29 T. Buitink
3 R. Flamingo
24 J. Houwen
25 G. de Regt
27 R. Yapi
33 D. Reiziger
53 S. van Duivenbooden

Coach: T. Letsch

Heerenveen

5-3-2
44 A. Noppert G
27 M. van Ewijk D
4 S. van Beek D
5 P. Bochniewicz D
3 J. van Aken D
7 M. Köhlert D
33 T. Haye M
26 A. Tahiri M
10 T. Halilović M
9 A. Sarr F
17 S. van Hooijdonk F
Bench (8)
19 S. Olsson
8 A. Timossi Andersson
13 R. Kaib
6 S. van Ottele
22 R. Al Hajj
23 J. Bekkema
15 H. Ali
1 X. Mous

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,97
U
3,66
B ✓
3,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.