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Eredivisie
Referee: R Martens
Volendam
U T S T T
2–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volendam Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,5
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
3,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
-2,5
-1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
4,4
3,6
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
3,4
2,6
Goal diff per game
-2,4
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 10
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Volendam 16. · Go Ahead Eagles 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 5 5 0 0 +13 15
2 Feyenoord 5 4 1 0 +9 13
3 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 1 0 +7 13
4 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 0 1 +16 12
5 Twente 5 4 0 1 +8 12
6 Heerenveen 5 2 3 0 +5 9
7 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 1 2 +3 7
8 Waalwijk 5 1 3 1 +2 6
9 Nijmegen 5 1 3 1 +2 6
10 Excelsior 5 2 0 3 -8 6
11 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 -2 5
12 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -5 5
13 Cambuur 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 Vitesse 5 1 1 3 -8 4
15 FC Emmen 5 1 1 3 -9 4
16 Volendam 5 1 1 3 -12 4
17 Go Ahead Eagles 5 0 0 5 -8 0
18 For Sittard 5 0 0 5 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Volendam Go Ahead Eagles
14′
🔁 S. Sow
↦ E. Llansana
23′
B. Adekanye 0–1
1–1 C. Eiting
31′
32′
🟨 Jeffrey De Lange
Benaissa Benamar 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 Jay Idzes
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 J. Amofa
↦ J. Bakker
W. Ould-Chikh 🔁
↦ B. Benamar
59′
Gaetano Oristanio 🟨
64′
65′
🟨 Evert Linthorst
H. Veerman 🔁
↦ D. van Mieghem
70′
70′
🔁 W. Willumsson
↦ B. Adekanye
I. El Kadiri 🔁
↦ G. Oristanio
74′
77′
B. Kuipers 1–2
82′
B. Kuipers 1–3
Derry Murkin 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 F. Mattiello
↦ O. Edvardsen
2–3 R. Mühren
C. Eiting
97′
99′
🔁 G. Nauber
↦ S. Sow
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Volendam

4-3-3
1 F. Stanković G
3 B. Plat D
31 X. Mbuyamba D
6 B. Benamar D
5 D. Murkin D
10 G. Oristanio M
4 D. Mirani M
8 C. Eiting M
11 B. Ould-Chikh F
21 R. Mühren F
7 D. van Mieghem F
Bench (10)
33 W. Ould-Chikh
9 H. Veerman
34 I. El Kadiri
15 D. James
23 B. van Duijl
16 I. Nazih
25 L. Zeefuik
22 B. Lauwers
24 A. Douiri
20 K. van Oevelen

Coach: W. Jonk

Go Ahead Eagles

4-4-2
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
6 J. Idzes D
26 J. Bakker D
5 B. Kuipers D
8 E. Linthorst M
21 E. Llansana M
10 P. Rommens M
23 O. Edvardsen M
11 B. Adekanye F
9 I. Lidberg F
Bench (10)
19 S. Sow
25 J. Amofa
18 W. Willumsson
33 F. Mattiello
3 G. Nauber
20 X. Blomme
17 M. Berden
14 A. Aventisian
16 S. Jansen
22 E. Mulder

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U
3,60
B ✓
2,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,34
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Martens · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.