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Eredivisie

Referee: A Bos

Excelsior

S S U U S

3–1

Full-time

Vitesse

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,5

4,7

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

1,0

2,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

7,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,0

5,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%

11 Shots 22

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 8

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Excelsior 4. · Vitesse 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Groningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Waalwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Groningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Waalwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.