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Eredivisie

Referee: S van der Eijk

PSV Eindhoven

S S U T S

7–1

Full-time

Volendam

T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Volendam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

83%

75%

Both score Ø 79%

83%

75%

Average goals

4,8

3,8

Scored

3,3

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

6,3

3,3

Scored

5,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,7

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

65% Possession 35%

25 Shots 9

16 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 11

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

2 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 3. · Volendam 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+11	9
4	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Heerenveen	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Twente	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Groningen	4	1	2	1	-4	5
9	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Cambuur	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Volendam	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	FC Emmen	4	1	1	2	-6	4
14	Waalwijk	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Vitesse	4	0	1	3	-9	1
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	0	4	-7	0
18	For Sittard	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	FC Emmen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Volendam	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-7	1
15	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Cambuur	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Twente	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Waalwijk	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-5	1
15	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.