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Coppa Italia
Referee: M Caputi
Genoa
T T U T S
3–0
Full-time
Vicenza
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Vicenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

71% Possession 29%
14 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Genoa Vicenza
1–0 V. Carboni ⚽
A. Martin
40′
1–1 F. Benassai ⚽
own goal
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 N. Stanciu ⚽
54′
55′
🔁 D. Stuckler
↦ A. Capello
55′
🔁 A. Rada
↦ M. Cavion
R. Malinovskyi 🔁
↦ A. Gronbaek
59′
Junior Messias 🔁
↦ V. Carboni
59′
66′
🔁 A. Tribuzzi
↦ L. Caferri
66′
🔁 G. Pellizzari
↦ M. Vitale
L. Ostigard 🔁
↦ A. Marcandalli
70′
Vitinha 🔁
↦ L. Colombo
70′
75′
🟨 Thomas Sandon
78′
🔁 F. Alessio
↦ C. Morra
L. Venturino 🔁
↦ N. Stanciu
80′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genoa

4-2-3-1
1 N. Leali G
15 B. Norton-Cuffy D
27 A. Marcandalli D
22 J. Vasquez D
3 A. Martin D
73 P. Masini M
32 M. Frendrup M
23 V. Carboni M
8 N. Stanciu M
11 A. Gronbaek M
29 L. Colombo F
Bench (13)
31 B. Siegrist
39 D. Sommariva
5 L. Ostigard
20 S. Sabelli
2 M. Thorsby
17 R. Malinovskyi
77 M. E. Ellertsson
9 Vitinha
10 Junior Messias
21 J. Ekhator
30 H. F. Cuenca Martinez
40 S. Fini
76 L. Venturino

Coach: Daniele De Rossi

Vicenza

5-3-2
12 S. Massolo G
28 L. Caferri D
14 G. Cuomo D
6 M. Leverbe D
23 F. Benassai D
27 T. Sandon D
8 M. Cavion M
4 M. Carraro M
99 M. Vitale M
10 A. Capello F
9 C. Morra F
Bench (12)
1 M. Basso
22 G. Bianchi
7 N. Rauti
11 D. Stuckler
13 M. Golin
19 A. Tribuzzi
24 F. Alessio
26 G. Pellizzari
33 M. Vescovi
76 N. Fantoni
77 A. Rada
97 F. Rosa

Coach: Fabio Gallo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Caputi · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.