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Serie A

Referee: D Massa

Lazio

U S S U S

1–1

Full-time

Juventus

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Juventus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 49%

51%

46%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

63%

43%

Both score Ø 55%

63%

46%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,67 xG 0,79

58% Possession 42%

19 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lazio 6. · Juventus 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	35	23	8	4	+30	+20.2	77
2	Inter	35	22	8	5	+40	+31.6	74
3	Atalanta	35	20	8	7	+40	+26.2	68
4	Juventus	35	16	15	4	+20	+14.2	63
5	Roma	35	18	9	8	+18	+12.2	63
6	Lazio	35	18	9	8	+13	+15.9	63
7	Bologna	36	16	14	6	+13	+11.7	62
8	Milan	36	17	9	10	+18	+20.9	60
9	Fiorentina	35	17	8	10	+18	+5.9	59
10	Como	36	13	9	14	-1	+2.1	48
11	Torino	35	10	14	11	-1	-13.6	44
12	Udinese	35	12	8	15	-11	-9.6	44
13	Genoa	35	9	12	14	-13	-8.5	39
14	Cagliari	36	8	9	19	-17	-12.3	33
15	Parma	35	6	14	15	-14	-13.9	32
16	Verona	35	9	5	21	-33	-19.6	32
17	Lecce	35	6	9	20	-33	-22.8	27
18	Venezia	35	4	14	17	-21	-19.0	26
19	Empoli	35	4	13	18	-28	-18.3	25
20	Monza	35	2	9	24	-38	-23.2	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	18	13	3	2	+19	+15.8	42
2	Napoli	17	13	2	2	+17	+15.2	41
3	Roma	18	12	2	4	+20	+10.2	38
4	Bologna	18	10	7	1	+17	+14.5	37
5	Juventus	18	10	7	1	+14	+9.4	37
6	Fiorentina	18	11	4	3	+13	+8.5	37
7	Milan	18	8	7	3	+12	+10.5	31
8	Atalanta	17	8	5	4	+12	+11.1	29
9	Lazio	17	7	8	2	+8	+10.7	29
10	Como	18	8	5	5	+4	+3.4	29
11	Torino	17	6	7	4	+3	-5.0	25
12	Udinese	17	7	3	7	-3	-5.1	24
13	Genoa	18	5	7	6	-3	-2.3	22
14	Parma	18	5	5	8	-3	-0.9	20
15	Cagliari	18	5	4	9	-7	-2.2	19
16	Venezia	17	4	5	8	-5	-2.4	17
17	Lecce	18	3	6	9	-19	-8.6	15
18	Verona	17	4	3	10	-21	-5.9	15
19	Empoli	17	1	7	9	-16	-9.3	10
20	Monza	18	1	5	12	-16	-8.4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Atalanta	18	12	3	3	+28	+15.0	39
2	Napoli	18	10	6	2	+13	+5.0	36
3	Lazio	18	11	1	6	+5	+5.2	34
4	Inter	17	9	5	3	+21	+15.8	32
5	Milan	18	9	2	7	+6	+10.3	29
6	Juventus	17	6	8	3	+6	+4.9	26
7	Roma	17	6	7	4	-2	+2.0	25
8	Bologna	18	6	7	5	-4	-2.8	25
9	Fiorentina	17	6	4	7	+5	-2.6	22
10	Udinese	18	5	5	8	-8	-4.5	20
11	Torino	18	4	7	7	-4	-8.6	19
12	Como	18	5	4	9	-5	-1.2	19
13	Genoa	17	4	5	8	-10	-6.2	17
14	Verona	18	5	2	11	-12	-13.7	17
15	Empoli	18	3	6	9	-12	-9.0	15
16	Cagliari	18	3	5	10	-10	-10.0	14
17	Parma	17	1	9	7	-11	-13.0	12
18	Lecce	17	3	3	11	-14	-14.2	12
19	Venezia	18	0	9	9	-16	-16.6	9
20	Monza	17	1	4	12	-22	-14.8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.