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Serie A
Referee: Davide Massa
Genoa
T U T S S
0–0
Full-time
Lecce
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Lecce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,50 xG 0,37
59% Possession 41%
5 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Mar -25 Genoa – Lecce 2–1 5. Jan -25 Lecce – Genoa 0–0 28. Jan -24 Genoa – Lecce 2–1 22. Sep -23 Lecce – Genoa 1–0 19. Jul -20 Genoa – Lecce 2–1

Match report

Genoa Lecce
22′
🟨 Lameck Banda
36′
🟨 Danilo Veiga
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 R. Sottil
↦ L. Banda
Junior Messias 🔁
↦ A. Gronbaek
60′
60′
🔁 M. Kaba
↦ M. Berisha
68′
🔁 C. Kouassi
↦ D. Veiga
M. E. Ellertsson 🔁
↦ V. Carboni
73′
J. Ekhator 🔁
↦ L. Colombo
73′
Aarón Martín 🟨
75′
76′
🟨 Tete Morente
83′
🔁 B. Pierret
↦ L. Coulibaly
83′
🔁 K. Ndri
↦ F. Camarda
Jeff Ekhator 🟨
86′
M. Thorsby 🔁
↦ N. Stanciu
87′
Vitinha 🔁
↦ M. Frendrup
87′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Genoa

4-2-3-1
1 N. Leali G
15 B. Norton-Cuffy D
27 A. Marcandalli D
22 J. Vasquez D
3 A. Martin D
73 P. Masini M
32 M. Frendrup M
23 V. Carboni M
8 N. Stanciu M
11 A. Gronbaek M
29 L. Colombo F
Bench (13)
31 B. Siegrist
39 D. Sommariva
5 L. Ostigard
20 S. Sabelli
2 M. Thorsby
17 R. Malinovskyi
77 M. E. Ellertsson
9 Vitinha
10 Junior Messias
21 J. Ekhator
30 H. F. Cuenca Martinez
40 S. Fini
76 L. Venturino

Coach: Patrick Donalé Vieira

Lecce

4-3-3
30 W. Falcone G
17 D. Veiga D
4 K. Gaspar D
44 Tiago Gabriel D
25 A. Gallo D
29 L. Coulibaly M
20 Y. Ramadani M
10 M. Berisha M
19 L. Banda F
22 F. Camarda F
7 Tete Morente F
Bench (14)
1 C. Fruchtl
32 J. Samooja
3 C. Ndaba
5 J. Siebert
13 M. Perez
21 C. Kouassi
8 H. Rafia
14 T. J. Helgason
28 O. Gorter
75 B. Pierret
77 M. Kaba
93 Y. Maleh
11 K. Ndri
23 R. Sottil

Coach: Eusebio Luca Di Francesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
🔒
U ✓
3,28
🔒
B
4,29
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,36
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,55
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Davide Massa · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.