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La Liga
Referee: V Garcia
Elche
S S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Getafe
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
39%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
61%
28%
Both score Ø 52%
72%
31%
Average goals
2,9
1,9
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,66 xG 0,11
60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 0
4 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Elche 17. · Getafe 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 36 30 1 5 +59 +41.1 91
2 Real Madrid 36 25 5 6 +39 +35.3 80
3 Villarreal 36 21 6 9 +24 +11.1 69
4 Ath Madrid 36 20 6 10 +21 +11.5 66
5 Betis 36 14 15 7 +12 +10.3 57
6 Celta 36 13 11 12 +4 +2.0 50
7 Getafe 36 14 6 16 -6 -10.7 48
8 Sociedad 36 11 12 13 -1 -2.6 45
9 Vallecano 36 10 14 12 -6 +3.4 44
10 Ath Bilbao 36 13 5 18 -13 +7.2 44
11 Sevilla 36 12 7 17 -12 -16.8 43
12 Valencia 36 11 10 15 -12 +2.1 43
13 Osasuna 36 11 9 16 -4 -4.3 42
14 Espanol 36 11 9 16 -13 -6.0 42
15 Alaves 36 10 10 16 -12 -2.6 40
16 Girona 36 9 13 14 -15 -8.7 40
17 Elche 36 9 12 15 -9 -20.8 39
18 Mallorca 36 10 9 17 -11 -19.7 39
19 Levante 36 10 9 17 -15 -10.9 39
20 Oviedo 36 6 11 19 -30 -20.7 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
2,91
B
3,57
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,62
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Garcia · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.