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LaLiga2
Referee: S Muresan
Malaga
T T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Santander
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,3
4,0
Scored
2,7
3,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
60%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
63%
73%
Both score Ø 68%
63%
73%
Average goals
3,1
3,6
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 8
7 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 4. · Santander 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 40 24 6 10 +26 -1.2 78
2 La Coruna 40 21 11 8 +20 +2.1 74
3 Almeria 40 21 8 11 +19 +2.0 71
4 Malaga 40 20 9 11 +21 +6.2 69
5 Las Palmas 40 19 12 9 +16 +0.7 69
6 Castellon 40 18 12 10 +17 +6.9 66
7 Burgos 40 18 12 10 +12 +5.3 66
8 Eibar 40 18 10 12 +11 +7.1 64
9 Cordoba 40 17 9 14 -2 +6.7 60
10 Albacete 41 16 11 14 +2 +2.0 59
11 Andorra 41 16 10 15 +9 +2.9 58
12 Ceuta 41 16 10 15 -13 -15.4 58
13 Sp Gijon 40 16 7 17 +3 +1.9 55
14 Granada 40 12 12 16 -3 -1.9 48
15 Sociedad B 41 12 10 19 -9 -9.0 46
16 Valladolid 40 12 10 18 -10 +2.2 46
17 Leganes 40 10 13 17 -6 +3.1 43
18 Cadiz 40 10 10 20 -20 -6.7 40
19 Huesca 40 9 10 21 -21 -0.2 37
20 Mirandes 40 9 10 21 -23 -5.7 37
21 Cultural Leonesa 40 9 9 22 -27 -12.1 36
22 Zaragoza 40 8 11 21 -22 +2.9 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,60
U ✓
4,21
B
4,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,36
U2,5 ✓
2,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Muresan · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.