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LaLiga2
Referee: M H De Aza
Leganes
T S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Santander
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,7
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 42%
26%
58%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
45%
71%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
71%
Average goals
2,3
3,6
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,72 xG 1,70
59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 22
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 16. · Santander 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 38 22 6 10 +22 -1.1 72
2 Almeria 39 21 8 10 +20 +2.0 71
3 La Coruna 39 20 11 8 +19 +1.2 71
4 Malaga 39 19 9 11 +18 +6.3 66
5 Las Palmas 39 18 12 9 +15 +0.7 66
6 Castellon 39 18 11 10 +17 +6.9 65
7 Burgos 39 17 12 10 +11 +5.3 63
8 Eibar 38 17 10 11 +11 +6.4 61
9 Andorra 39 16 10 13 +12 +3.7 58
10 Cordoba 38 16 9 13 -2 +4.1 57
11 Ceuta 39 15 10 14 -12 -15.4 55
12 Albacete 39 14 11 14 -1 +2.0 53
13 Sp Gijon 39 15 7 17 +1 +1.9 52
14 Granada 38 12 12 14 -1 +0.7 48
15 Valladolid 39 12 10 17 -7 +2.2 46
16 Leganes 38 10 12 16 -5 +3.1 42
17 Sociedad B 38 11 9 18 -8 -9.3 42
18 Cadiz 39 10 9 20 -20 -6.7 39
19 Huesca 38 9 9 20 -20 -0.4 36
20 Mirandes 38 9 9 20 -22 -4.9 36
21 Zaragoza 39 8 11 20 -20 +2.9 35
22 Cultural Leonesa 39 8 9 22 -28 -11.5 33

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U
3,54
B ✓
2,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M H De Aza · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.