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La Liga
Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid
Alaves
T U S S T
3–0
Full-time
Getafe
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,93 xG 0,24
52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Feb -26 Alaves – Getafe 0–2 24. Sep -25 Getafe – Alaves 1–1 9. Feb -25 Alaves – Getafe 0–1 28. Sep -24 Getafe – Alaves 2–0 18. May -24 Alaves – Getafe 1–0

Match report

Alaves Getafe
10′
🟨 Davinchi
23′
🟨 Mario Martín
41′
ℹ️ Kiko Femenía
VAR: Card upgrade
42′
🟥 Kiko Femenía
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Unal
↦ Davinchi
Denis Suárez 🟨
48′
M. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ D. Suarez
57′
M. Diaz 🔁
↦ A. Manas
57′
Yusi 🔁
↦ A. Perez
65′
Abderrahman Rebbach 🟨
66′
66′
🔁 A. R. Alcantara
↦ M. Martin
73′
🔁 J. Valou
↦ M. Satriano
1–0 N. Tenaglia ⚽
M. Diaz
73′
76′
🟨 Djené
81′
🔁 S. Sazonov
↦ Djene
81′
🔁 S. Boselli
↦ A. Garcia
Antonio Blanco 🟨
85′
2–0 M. Diaz ⚽
90′
3–0 M. Rodriguez ⚽
M. Diaz
90′
Mariano Díaz 🟨
92′
C. Alena 🔁
↦ A. Rebbach
94′
A. Guevara 🔁
↦ A. Blanco
94′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Alaves

3-5-2
1 A. Sivera G
14 N. Tenaglia D
16 V. Koski D
17 Jonny Otto D
7 A. Perez M
19 P. Ibanez M
8 A. Blanco M
4 D. Suarez M
21 A. Rebbach M
11 T. Martinez F
20 A. Manas F
Bench (12)
13 A. Rodriguez
31 G. Swiderski
3 Yusi
24 M. Diarra
12 H. Novoa Ramos
18 M. Rodriguez
10 C. Alena
23 C. Protesoni
6 A. Guevara
9 M. Diaz
22 M. Rodriguez
27 X. Olaiz

Coach: Quique Sanchez Flores

Getafe

3-5-2
13 D. Soria G
2 Djene D
5 A. Abqar D
24 Z. Romero D
17 Kiko Femenia M
11 R. Terrats M
23 O. Mangala M
6 M. Martin M
3 Davinchi M
21 A. Garcia F
10 M. Satriano F
Bench (10)
1 J. Letacek
35 D. Ferrer
26 J. Valou
22 J. Mojica
4 S. Sazonov
15 S. Boselli
28 A. R. Alcantara
19 E. Unal
9 B. Mayoral
27 E. Drammeh

Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
🔒
U
2,82
🔒
B
3,62
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
3,08
🔒
U2,5
1,35
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.