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La Liga
Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Santander
S S S U S
2–2
Full-time
Villarreal
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
2,5
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,87 xG 0,67
41% Possession 59%
17 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 10
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Dec -25 Santander – Villarreal 2–1

Match report

Santander Villarreal
Manu 🔁
↦ Pedro Felipe
16′
1–0 A. Martin ⚽
21′
2–0 S. Martinez ⚽
34′
45′
⚽ P. Gueye 2–1
A. Moleiro
45′
⚽ N. Pepe 2–2
G. Mikautadze
Half-time 2–2
48′
🟨 Juan Foyth
Gustavo Puerta 🟨
49′
56′
🔁 T. Buchanan
↦ A. Moleiro
56′
🔁 C. Macia
↦ A. Perez
56′
🔁 G. Moreno
↦ S. Comesana
M. Gueye 🔁
↦ S. Martinez
69′
Y. Zabiri 🔁
↦ A. Villalibre
69′
72′
🟨 Pape Gueye
Pablo Ramón 🟨
75′
F. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ P. Ramon
77′
D. Diaz 🔁
↦ S. Canales
77′
77′
🔁 I. Akhomach
↦ N. Pepe
87′
🟨 Santiago Mouriño
88′
🔁 A. Freeman
↦ S. Mourino
93′
🟨 Carlos Romero
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 J. Agirrezabala G
2 A. Mantilla D
22 Pedro Felipe D
5 P. Ramon D
17 J. Salinas D
8 G. Puerta M
36 S. Martinez M
11 A. Martin M
20 S. Canales M
10 I. Vicente M
12 A. Villalibre F
Bench (12)
1 S. Eriksson
16 F. Gonzalez
4 Manu
30 C. Sanchez
34 D. Diaz
6 I. Sainz-Maza
14 M. Gueye
29 A. Vallecillo
33 J. Castellanos
21 Y. Zabiri
9 J. Arana
38 H. Martin

Coach: Jose Lopez

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Luiz Junior G
15 S. Mourino D
8 J. Foyth D
12 R. Veiga D
20 C. Romero D
19 N. Pepe M
14 S. Comesana M
18 P. Gueye M
10 A. Moleiro M
22 A. Perez F
9 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (12)
25 P. Gulacsi
2 L. Costa
23 S. Cardona
5 W. Kambwala
3 A. Freeman
6 P. Navarro
17 T. Buchanan
26 C. Macia
7 G. Moreno
11 I. Akhomach
30 C. Tidiane Thiam
21 T. Oluwaseyi

Coach: Inigo Perez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,14
🔒
U ✓
3,50
🔒
B
2,16
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,77
🔒
U2,5
1,98
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Miguel Sesma Espinosa · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.