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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Dundee United
T U S S S
0–1
Full-time
Hearts
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 35%
45%
24%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
40%
52%
Both score Ø 59%
55%
62%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
6 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 3. · Hearts 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 19 16 2 1 +45 50
2 Rangers 20 12 4 4 +21 40
3 Dundee United 20 9 7 4 +9 34
4 Aberdeen 21 10 4 7 +2 34
5 Motherwell 21 9 3 9 -7 30
6 St Mirren 21 8 3 10 -7 27
7 Hibernian 22 6 8 8 -4 26
8 Dundee 21 7 4 10 -4 25
9 Kilmarnock 21 6 6 9 -11 24
10 Ross County 21 5 7 9 -17 22
11 Hearts 21 5 5 11 -7 20
12 ST Johnstone 22 4 3 15 -20 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Sep -24 Hearts – Dundee United 0–1 4. Feb -23 Hearts – Dundee United 3–1 24. Dec -22 Dundee United – Hearts 2–2 14. Aug -22 Hearts – Dundee United 4–1 24. Apr -22 Dundee United – Hearts 2–3

Match report

Dundee United Hearts
J. van der Sande 🔁
↦ M. Thomson
39′
R. Docherty 🔁
↦ R. Odada
39′
Declan Gallagher 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
Luca Stephenson 🟨
47′
Kevin Holt 🟨
65′
70′
🟨 James Wilson
G. Middleton 🔁
↦ L. Stephenson
72′
K. Trapanovski 🔁
↦ D. Gallagher
72′
73′
⚽ J. Penrice 0–1
L. Boyce
76′
🔁 A. Forrest
↦ M. Drammeh
76′
🔁 M. Boateng
↦ L. Boyce
Vicko Ševelj 🟨
83′
84′
🟨 Alan Forrest
K. Fotheringham 🔁
↦ V. Ševelj
86′
86′
🔁 K. Vargas
↦ J. Grant
91′
🔁 J. McCart
↦ J. Wilson
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-4-1-2
1 J. Walton G
16 E. Adegboyega D
31 D. Gallagher D
4 K. Holt D
2 R. Strain M
12 R. Odada M
5 V. Ševelj M
11 W. Ferry M
17 L. Stephenson F
19 S. Dalby F
29 M. Thomson F
Bench (9)
20 J. van der Sande
23 R. Docherty
15 G. Middleton
7 K. Trapanovski
18 K. Fotheringham
6 R. Graham
25 D. Richards
70 M. Ubochioma
42 O. Stirton

Coach: J. Goodwin

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 C. Gordon G
35 A. Forrester D
4 C. Halkett D
15 K. Rowles D
29 J. Penrice D
14 C. Devlin M
7 J. Grant M
37 M. Drammeh M
27 L. Boyce M
16 B. Spittal M
21 J. Wilson F
Bench (9)
17 A. Forrest
18 M. Boateng
77 K. Vargas
30 J. McCart
12 R. Fulton
25 M. Tait
5 D. Oyegoke
23 L. Neilson
20 Y. Dhanda

Coach: N. Critchley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
🔒
U
3,41
🔒
B ✓
2,85
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,87
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,89
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.