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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Hearts
S S T S T
0–1
Full-time
Dundee United
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 37%
35%
39%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
58%
42%
Both score Ø 53%
58%
48%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 6. · Dundee United 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 32 25 3 4 +71 78
2 Rangers 32 20 5 7 +33 65
3 Hibernian 32 13 11 8 +9 50
4 Aberdeen 32 14 7 11 -4 49
5 Dundee United 31 12 8 11 -1 44
6 Hearts 31 11 6 14 +0 39
7 St Mirren 32 11 5 16 -10 38
8 Motherwell 32 11 5 16 -19 38
9 Kilmarnock 32 9 8 15 -16 35
10 Ross County 32 9 8 15 -22 35
11 Dundee 32 9 7 16 -17 34
12 ST Johnstone 32 8 5 19 -24 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Dundee United
8′
🟨 Louis Moult
James Wilson 🟥
38′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Emmanuel Adegboyega
59′
🔁 G. Middleton
↦ A. Campbell
59′
🔁 K. Trapanovski
↦ S. Harding
59′
🔁 D. Babunski
↦ L. Moult
61′
🟨 Kristijan Trapanovski
C. Devlin 🔁
↦ S. Kartum
64′
67′
S. Dalby 0–1
G. Middleton
C. Nieuwenhof 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
71′
L. Shankland 🔁
↦ J. Grant
71′
76′
🔁 C. Sibbald
↦ L. Stephenson
M. Drammeh 🔁
↦ B. Baningime
82′
88′
🟨 Ross Docherty
91′
🔁 J. van der Sande
↦ S. Dalby
James Penrice 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hearts

4-3-1-2
1 C. Gordon G
35 A. Forrester D
15 M. Steinwender D
30 J. McCart D
29 J. Penrice D
27 S. Kartum M
6 B. Baningime M
16 B. Spittal M
7 J. Grant M
19 E. Kabangu F
21 J. Wilson F
Bench (9)
14 C. Devlin
8 C. Nieuwenhof
9 L. Shankland
37 M. Drammeh
12 R. Fulton
18 H. Milne
17 A. Forrest
4 C. Halkett
20 Y. Dhanda

Coach: N. Critchley

Dundee United

3-5-2
1 J. Walton G
37 S. Harding D
31 D. Gallagher D
16 E. Adegboyega D
2 R. Strain M
17 L. Stephenson M
23 R. Docherty M
22 A. Campbell M
11 W. Ferry M
19 S. Dalby F
9 L. Moult F
Bench (9)
15 G. Middleton
7 K. Trapanovski
10 D. Babunski
14 C. Sibbald
20 J. van der Sande
25 D. Richards
8 L. Fiorini
21 R. Paton
18 K. Fotheringham

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
U
3,82
B ✓
4,76
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.