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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Motherwell
U S T T S
2–0
Full-time
Dundee United
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 73%
78%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 7. · Dundee United 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 9 8 1 0 +15 +0.8 25
2 Celtic 9 5 2 2 +4 +2.5 17
3 Hibernian 9 3 5 1 +5 +1.1 14
4 Dundee United 9 3 4 2 +3 -1.0 13
5 Rangers 9 2 6 1 +1 -0.9 12
6 Falkirk 9 3 3 3 -3 -0.7 12
7 Motherwell 9 2 5 2 +1 +1.8 11
8 Kilmarnock 9 2 4 3 -2 -0.1 10
9 St Mirren 9 2 3 4 -4 -1.5 9
10 Dundee 10 2 3 5 -6 -2.0 9
11 Aberdeen 9 2 1 6 -5 -0.6 7
12 Livingston 10 1 3 6 -9 +0.6 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Dundee United
32′
🟨 Krisztián Keresztes
37′
🟨 Craig Sibbald
E. Longelo 🔁
↦ S. O'Donnell
38′
1–0 T. Maswanhise
E. Longelo
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. Camara
↦ J. Eskesen
46′
🔁 D. Naamo
↦ C. Sibbald
Callum Hendry 🟨
63′
L. Gordon 🔁
↦ S. Welsh
64′
I. Said 🔁
↦ R. Charles-Cook
64′
A. Stamatelopoulos 🔁
↦ C. Hendry
65′
65′
🔁 K. Trapanovski
↦ N. Moller
65′
🔁 I. Dolcek
↦ A. Fatah
2–0 E. Watt
A. Stamatelopoulos
77′
T. Sparrow 🔁
↦ T. Maswanhise
82′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
13 C. Ward G
2 S. O'Donnell D
16 P. McGinn D
57 S. Welsh D
22 J. Koutroumbis D
12 L. Fadinger M
20 E. Watt M
18 T. Maswanhise M
8 C. Slattery M
77 R. Charles-Cook M
66 C. Hendry F
Bench (9)
1 Matty Connelly
4 L. Gordon
7 T. Sparrow
9 A. Stamatelopoulos
11 A. Halliday
21 E. Just
25 O. Priestman
45 E. Longelo
90 I. Said

Coach: Jens Berthel Askou

Dundee United

4-3-3
1 Y. Kucherenko G
21 L. Stephenson D
3 B. Esselink D
23 K. Keresztes D
11 W. Ferry D
10 J. Eskesen M
5 V. Sevelj M
14 C. Sibbald M
17 A. Fatah F
77 N. Moller F
9 Z. Sapsford F
Bench (9)
25 D. Richards
4 I. Iovu
7 K. Trapanovski
8 P. Camara
19 I. Dolcek
22 D. Naamo
34 O. Stirton
37 S. Cleall-Harding
44 C. Beattie

Coach: James Michael Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,54
B
3,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.