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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Hearts
U T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Dundee United
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
14 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 10. · Dundee United 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 +6 12
3 Rangers 4 2 1 1 +4 7
4 Motherwell 4 2 1 1 +2 7
5 Dundee 4 1 3 0 +2 6
6 Dundee United 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 St Mirren 4 1 1 2 -2 4
8 ST Johnstone 4 1 0 3 -1 3
9 Ross County 4 0 2 2 -7 2
10 Hearts 3 0 1 2 -4 1
11 Hibernian 3 0 1 2 -5 1
12 Kilmarnock 3 0 0 3 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Dundee United
Lawrence Shankland 🟨
41′
41′
🟨 Will Ferry
41′
🔁 V. Ševelj
↦ K. Holt
Half-time 0–0
B. McKay 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
58′
Y. Dhanda 🔁
↦ K. Vargas
58′
64′
🟨 Kristijan Trapanovski
65′
🔁 L. Moult
↦ K. Trapanovski
65′
🔁 S. Dalby
↦ J. van der Sande
65′
🔁 R. Docherty
↦ D. Babunski
C. Devlin 🔁
↦ J. Penrice
69′
D. Oyegoke 🔁
↦ J. Grant
69′
76′
R. Graham 0–1
W. Ferry
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ Y. Oda
80′
86′
🟨 Craig Sibbald
Yan Dhanda 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Jack Walton
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hearts

4-3-3
1 C. Gordon G
3 S. Kingsley D
4 C. Halkett D
2 F. Kent D
29 J. Penrice D
7 J. Grant M
18 M. Boateng M
16 B. Spittal M
11 Y. Oda F
9 L. Shankland F
77 K. Vargas F
Bench (9)
10 B. McKay
20 Y. Dhanda
14 C. Devlin
5 D. Oyegoke
17 A. Forrest
24 F. Pollock
15 K. Rowles
80 A. Salazar
28 Z. Clark

Coach: S. Naismith

Dundee United

3-4-2-1
1 J. Walton G
16 E. Adegboyega D
31 D. Gallagher D
6 R. Graham D
17 L. Stephenson M
4 K. Holt M
14 C. Sibbald M
11 W. Ferry M
10 D. Babunski F
7 K. Trapanovski F
20 J. van der Sande F
Bench (9)
5 V. Ševelj
9 L. Moult
19 S. Dalby
23 R. Docherty
15 G. Middleton
29 M. Thomson
70 M. Ubochioma
12 R. Odada
25 D. Richards

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U
3,96
B ✓
3,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.