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Premiership

Referee: D Dickinson

Hearts

S U S S S

1–0

Full-time

Hibernian

U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Hibernian

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

11 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 1. · Hibernian 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	6	5	1	0	+9	+0.8	16
2	Celtic	6	4	2	0	+7	+2.5	14
3	Kilmarnock	7	2	4	1	+3	-0.1	10
4	Dundee United	7	2	3	2	+1	-1.0	9
5	St Mirren	7	2	3	2	-1	-1.5	9
6	Motherwell	6	1	5	0	+2	+1.8	8
7	Hibernian	6	1	5	0	+1	+1.1	8
8	Rangers	6	1	4	1	-1	-0.9	7
9	Dundee	7	1	3	3	-3	-2.0	6
10	Livingston	8	1	3	4	-4	+0.6	6
11	Falkirk	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.7	5
12	Aberdeen	6	0	1	5	-9	-0.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.1	7
2	Celtic	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.8	7
3	Motherwell	3	1	2	0	+2	+2.0	5
4	Kilmarnock	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.2	5
5	St Mirren	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.2	5
6	Dundee United	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.9	4
7	Dundee	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.8	4
8	Hibernian	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.3	3
9	Livingston	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.8	3
10	Falkirk	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.1	2
11	Rangers	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.2	2
12	Aberdeen	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	3	3	0	0	+4	+0.9	9
2	Celtic	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.7	7
3	Dundee United	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.1	5
4	Kilmarnock	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.3	5
5	Hibernian	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.8	5
6	Rangers	3	1	2	0	+1	-2.0	5
7	St Mirren	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.8	4
8	Motherwell	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.2	3
9	Livingston	5	0	3	2	-4	-0.2	3
10	Falkirk	3	1	0	2	-4	-0.8	3
11	Dundee	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.2	2
12	Aberdeen	3	0	0	3	-6	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.