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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Kilmarnock
T U U U T
3–1
Full-time
Livingston
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 9. · Livingston 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 8 7 1 0 +14 22
2 Rangers 8 5 0 3 +8 15
3 St Mirren 8 4 3 1 +1 15
4 Hearts 8 3 2 3 +2 11
5 Motherwell 8 3 1 4 -2 10
6 Livingston 8 2 4 2 -4 10
7 Hibernian 8 2 3 3 +1 9
8 Aberdeen 8 2 3 3 +0 9
9 Kilmarnock 8 1 4 3 -3 7
10 Dundee 7 1 4 2 -3 7
11 Ross County 7 2 1 4 -6 7
12 ST Johnstone 8 0 4 4 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock Livingston
1–0 D. Armstrong
16′
35′
S. Kelly 1–1
David Watson 🟨
38′
38′
🟨 Michael Devlin
2–1 K. Vassell
D. Armstrong
42′
Half-time 2–1
Bradley Lyons 🟨
50′
58′
🔁 K. Guthrie
↦ D. Mackay
3–1 K. Vassell
D. Watson
60′
64′
🔁 C. Montaño
↦ J. Holt
64′
🔁 S. Bradley
↦ S. Pittman
78′
🔁 A. Shinnie
↦ M. Sangare
79′
🔁 D. Lloyd-McGoldrick
↦ B. Anderson
M. Kennedy 🔁
↦ D. Armstrong
81′
L. Donnelly 🔁
↦ D. Watson
81′
R. McKenzie 🔁
↦ K. Vassell
81′
A. Dallas 🔁
↦ L. Polworth
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
1 W. Dennis G
4 J. Wright D
5 L. Mayo D
17 S. Findlay D
11 D. Armstrong M
12 D. Watson M
8 B. Lyons M
31 L. Polworth M
3 C. Ndaba M
9 K. Vassell F
23 M. Watkins F
Bench (9)
10 M. Kennedy
22 L. Donnelly
7 R. McKenzie
21 A. Dallas
15 F. Murray
14 J. Sanders
6 R. Deas
20 K. O'Hara
19 T. Davies

Coach: D. McInnes

Livingston

3-4-1-2
1 S. George G
23 L. de Lucas D
5 M. Devlin D
24 S. Kelly D
11 D. Mackay M
18 J. Holt M
8 S. Pittman M
29 J. Penrice M
20 M. Sangare F
19 J. Nouble F
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
28 K. Guthrie
3 C. Montaño
16 S. Bradley
22 A. Shinnie
25 D. Lloyd-McGoldrick
12 J. Brandon
32 J. Hamilton
10 S. Kelly
14 M. Welch-Hayes

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,45
B
4,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.