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Premiership

Referee: M MacDermid

Celtic

S T S S T

3–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

86%

14%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

2,9

2,1

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

77% Possession 23%

27 Shots 6

12 Shots on target 1

10 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 9

11 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celtic 1. · Kilmarnock 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	St Mirren	7	4	3	0	+4	15
3	Rangers	7	4	0	3	+5	12
4	Hearts	7	3	1	3	+2	10
5	Motherwell	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	Hibernian	7	2	2	3	+1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	+0	8
8	Kilmarnock	7	1	4	2	-1	7
9	Dundee	7	1	4	2	-3	7
10	Livingston	7	1	4	2	-6	7
11	Ross County	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	ST Johnstone	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	St Mirren	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Rangers	4	2	0	2	+2	6
4	Motherwell	4	2	0	2	+0	6
5	Dundee	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Kilmarnock	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Hearts	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Hibernian	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Ross County	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Aberdeen	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Livingston	3	0	2	1	-3	2
12	ST Johnstone	4	0	2	2	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	St Mirren	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Rangers	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Hearts	4	2	0	2	+1	6
5	Aberdeen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
6	Livingston	4	1	2	1	-3	5
7	Hibernian	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Motherwell	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Ross County	3	1	0	2	-5	3
10	Kilmarnock	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Dundee	4	0	2	2	-4	2
12	ST Johnstone	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.