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Serie B
Referee: M Volpi
Bari
U U T U U
1–1
Full-time
Modena
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
11%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 24%
22%
25%
Both score Ø 53%
67%
38%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
26 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 12. · Modena 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 10 7 2 1 +12 23
2 Palermo 8 6 1 1 +10 19
3 Venezia 9 5 3 1 +6 18
4 Catanzaro 9 5 3 1 +2 18
5 Cosenza 9 4 2 3 +5 14
6 Como 9 4 2 3 +0 14
7 Cremonese 9 3 4 2 +2 13
8 Cittadella 9 3 4 2 -2 13
9 Modena 8 3 3 2 +0 12
10 Brescia 6 2 4 0 +3 10
11 Sudtirol 8 2 4 2 +2 10
12 Bari 9 1 7 1 +0 10
13 Pisa 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 Ascoli 9 2 3 4 -2 9
15 Reggiana 9 1 5 3 -5 8
16 Ternana 9 1 3 5 -3 6
17 Sampdoria 9 1 3 5 -5 6
18 Spezia 8 1 3 4 -5 6
19 FeralpiSalo 9 1 2 6 -11 5
20 Lecco 6 0 1 5 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bari Modena
Giacomo Ricci 🟨
12′
14′
🟨 Giovanni Zaro
N. Bellomo 🔁
↦ R. Maiello
21′
Half-time 0–0
G. Morachioli 🔁
↦ M. Aramu
46′
55′
🟨 Cristian Cauz
56′
🔁 J. Manconi
↦ F. Abiuso
56′
🔁 D. Falcinelli
↦ N. Bonfanti
67′
🟨 Matteo Cotali
68′
🟨 Fabio Gerli
1–0 G. Sibilli
G. Acampora
72′
Giuseppe Sibilli 🟨
73′
73′
🔁 K. Bozhanaj
↦ L. Tremolada
73′
🔁 A. Riccio
↦ F. Ponsi
M. Nasti 🔁
↦ D. Diaw
75′
R. Pucino 🔁
↦ G. Sibilli
75′
78′
🟨 Kleis Bozhanaj
Valerio Di Cesare 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 L. Strizzolo
↦ A. Palumbo
83′
J. Manconi 1–1
I. Achik 🔁
↦ M. Dorval
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bari

4-3-2-1
22 Brenno G
93 M. Dorval D
6 V. Di Cesare D
23 F. Vicari D
31 G. Ricci D
26 I. Koutsoupias M
17 R. Maiello M
44 G. Acampora M
49 M. Aramu M
20 G. Sibilli M
18 D. Diaw F
Bench (12)
10 N. Bellomo
77 G. Morachioli
9 M. Nasti
25 R. Pucino
11 I. Achik
28 A. Hemsley
21 Ž. Žužek
24 M. Edjouma
19 F. Faggi
1 A. Farroni
5 E. Matino
99 G. Frabotta

Coach: P. Marino

Modena

4-3-1-2
26 R. Gagno G
3 F. Ponsi D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
29 M. Cotali D
6 L. Magnino M
16 F. Gerli M
5 A. Palumbo M
10 L. Tremolada M
9 N. Bonfanti F
90 F. Abiuso F
Bench (12)
17 J. Manconi
11 D. Falcinelli
30 K. Bozhanaj
27 A. Riccio
32 L. Strizzolo
4 A. Pergreffi
12 A. Seculin
42 L. Mondele
22 F. Vandelli
21 R. Giovannini
23 T. Battistella
8 A. Guiébré

Coach: P. Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U ✓
3,15
B
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,36
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Volpi · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.