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Serie B

Referee: M Monaldi

Catanzaro

T U U S S

3–0

Full-time

FeralpiSalo

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro FeralpiSalo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 34%

56%

11%

Points per game

2,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

44%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,6

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

11 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 4. · FeralpiSalo 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Palermo	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Venezia	9	5	3	1	+6	18
4	Catanzaro	9	5	3	1	+2	18
5	Cosenza	9	4	2	3	+5	14
6	Como	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Brescia	7	3	4	0	+4	13
8	Sudtirol	9	3	4	2	+3	13
9	Cremonese	10	3	4	3	+1	13
10	Modena	9	3	4	2	+0	13
11	Cittadella	10	3	4	3	-3	13
12	Ascoli	10	3	3	4	+0	12
13	Pisa	9	3	3	3	+0	12
14	Bari	10	1	8	1	+0	11
15	Reggiana	9	1	5	3	-5	8
16	Ternana	10	1	3	6	-4	6
17	Sampdoria	9	1	3	5	-5	6
18	Spezia	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	FeralpiSalo	9	1	2	6	-11	5
20	Lecco	7	0	1	6	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Venezia	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	-1	8
4	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	+4	7
5	Ascoli	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Como	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Catanzaro	4	2	1	1	-1	7
8	Modena	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Palermo	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Brescia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Ternana	6	1	2	3	+0	5
13	Bari	5	0	5	0	+0	5
14	Pisa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Reggiana	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Cremonese	6	0	3	3	-3	3
17	Spezia	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	FeralpiSalo	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Sampdoria	4	0	0	4	-5	0
20	Lecco	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Catanzaro	5	3	2	0	+3	11
3	Cremonese	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Parma	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Venezia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Brescia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Como	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Modena	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	Sampdoria	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Bari	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Cittadella	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Reggiana	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Ascoli	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	FeralpiSalo	5	1	1	3	-7	4
19	Ternana	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Lecco	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.