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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Kilmarnock
S S S U T
0–1
Full-time
Ross County
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
14 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 7. · Ross County 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 St Mirren 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Motherwell 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Rangers 3 2 0 1 +5 6
5 Dundee 4 1 2 1 +0 5
6 Hearts 3 1 1 1 +1 4
7 Kilmarnock 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Livingston 3 1 1 1 -3 4
9 Ross County 3 1 0 2 -2 3
10 Aberdeen 3 0 2 1 -2 2
11 ST Johnstone 4 0 2 2 -4 2
12 Hibernian 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. May -23 Kilmarnock – Ross County 3–1 28. Jan -23 Ross County – Kilmarnock 3–0 22. Oct -22 Kilmarnock – Ross County 1–0 20. Aug -22 Ross County – Kilmarnock 1–0 10. Apr -21 Kilmarnock – Ross County 2–2

Match report

Kilmarnock Ross County
33′
🟨 Connor Randall
39′
ℹ️ Simon Murray
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Simon Murray
53′
⚽ S. Murray 0–1
Y. Dhanda
66′
🟨 Yan Dhanda
A. Dallas 🔁
↦ T. Davies
66′
R. McKenzie 🔁
↦ D. Watson
66′
72′
🔁 E. Brophy
↦ S. Murray
72′
🔁 V. Loturi
↦ Y. Dhanda
85′
🟨 Josh Reid
87′
🟨 James Brown
F. Murray 🔁
↦ B. Lyons
89′
J. Wright 🔁
↦ L. Mayo
89′
I. Cameron 🔁
↦ M. Watkins
89′
89′
🔁 G. Harmon
↦ J. Reid
90′
🔁 D. Smith
↦ K. Turner
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
1 W. Dennis G
5 L. Mayo D
17 S. Findlay D
6 R. Deas D
11 D. Armstrong M
12 D. Watson M
16 K. Magennis M
8 B. Lyons M
19 T. Davies M
10 M. Kennedy F
23 M. Watkins F
Bench (9)
21 A. Dallas
7 R. McKenzie
15 F. Murray
4 J. Wright
18 I. Cameron
25 S. Warnock
31 L. Polworth
14 J. Sanders
20 K. O'Hara

Coach: D. McInnes

Ross County

3-5-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
35 W. Nightingale D
5 J. Baldwin D
42 R. Leak D
4 J. Brown M
7 K. Turner M
2 C. Randall M
10 Y. Dhanda M
43 J. Reid M
26 J. White F
15 S. Murray F
Bench (9)
27 E. Brophy
14 V. Loturi
16 G. Harmon
30 D. Smith
21 R. Munro
3 B. Purrington
18 S. High
17 J. Henderson
11 J. Sims

Coach: M. Mackay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
🔒
U
3,54
🔒
B ✓
4,13
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,02
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,78
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.