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Eliteserien
Referee: D Higraff
Bodo/Glimt
S S S T S
4–3
Full-time
Sandefjord
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodo/Glimt Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 46%
71%
21%
Points per game
2,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
71%
58%
Both score Ø 59%
63%
54%
Average goals
3,8
3,4
Scored
2,6
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–2

2,78 xG 1,03
58% Possession 42%
22 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bodo/Glimt 1. · Sandefjord 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 24 17 4 3 +32 +15.4 55
2 Viking 24 16 4 4 +17 +3.3 52
3 Brann 24 15 3 6 +17 -0.1 48
4 Tromso 24 15 3 6 +10 +8.9 48
5 Molde 24 13 5 6 +26 +13.9 44
6 Sarpsborg 08 24 11 4 9 +8 +2.4 37
7 Lillestrom 24 11 3 10 +4 +6.1 36
8 Odd 24 8 7 9 -3 -3.3 31
9 Rosenborg 24 8 5 11 -9 -3.1 29
10 Stromsgodset 24 8 3 13 -6 -6.1 27
11 Ham-Kam 24 8 3 13 -17 -11.2 27
12 Valerenga 24 6 6 12 -8 -4.0 24
13 Haugesund 24 6 6 12 -13 -5.1 24
14 Stabaek 24 6 5 13 -12 -4.6 23
15 Sandefjord 24 5 6 13 -11 -11.2 21
16 Aalesund 24 4 3 17 -35 -1.1 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bodo/Glimt Sandefjord
13′
J. Kjær 0–1
S. Foss
1–1 F. Moumbagna
A. Pellegrino
22′
2–1 N. Žugelj
A. Pellegrino
24′
3–1 A. Grønbæk
A. Pellegrino
27′
36′
Danilo Al Saed 3–2
F. Berglie
Half-time 3–2
Faris Pemi Moumbagna 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 A. Tveter
↦ F. Nyenetue
46′
🔁 J. Dunsby
↦ G. Koomson
4–2 U. Saltnes
A. Pellegrino
47′
49′
🟨 Sander Risan Mörk
53′
J. Dunsby 4–3
S. Mørk
F. Sjøvold 🔁
↦ B. Wembangomo
63′
S. Sørli 🔁
↦ N. Žugelj
63′
77′
🔁 A. Damnjanovic Nilsson
↦ J. Kjær
83′
🔁 K. Ayer
↦ S. Mørk
83′
🔁 Y. Chaib
↦ Danilo Al Saed
T. Gulliksen 🔁
↦ A. Pellegrino
91′
S. Fet 🔁
↦ A. Grønbæk
91′
Nikita Haikin 🟨
93′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
12 N. Haikin G
5 B. Wembangomo D
18 B. Moe D
4 O. Bjørtuft D
15 F. Bjørkan D
14 U. Saltnes M
77 P. Berg M
8 A. Grønbæk M
99 N. Žugelj F
29 F. Moumbagna F
7 A. Pellegrino F
Bench (9)
20 F. Sjøvold
27 S. Sørli
25 T. Gulliksen
19 S. Fet
30 A. Sørensen
28 O. Kapskarmo
2 M. Lode
44 M. Brøndbo
6 I. Amundsen

Coach: K. Knutsen

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 H. Keto G
2 F. Pålerud D
19 F. Berglie D
17 S. Foss D
3 V. Egeli D
10 J. Kjær M
18 F. Ottosson M
6 S. Mørk M
7 G. Koomson F
20 F. Nyenetue F
14 Danilo Al Saed F
Bench (8)
9 A. Tveter
27 J. Dunsby
8 A. Damnjanovic Nilsson
23 K. Ayer
11 Y. Chaib
4 F. Pedersen
12 M. Viken
26 F. Loftesnes-Bjune

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higraff · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.